Part of: Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA - More Markets

Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $36,730.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Brazil Serie A

Notable Trades

Three-wallet Grêmio conviction cluster

Three wallets coordinated $20.3K into Grêmio at 64–69% during a 23.5x volume spike, and the outcome has since moved to 100%.

  • Three wallets committed $20,330 to Grêmio, including one highly profitable bettor with $5.6M lifetime P&L.
  • The trades represented roughly 30% of total market volume and arrived during a 23.5x volume spike.
  • Grêmio moved from 64–69% to 100%, although the current price is too high to copy and the market may already be settled.

$20,330 on Grêmio FBPA

Whale adds to Grêmio position

A large $8.1K addition to an existing Grêmio position coincided with an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the bettor has only a modest historical edge.

  • This bettor added $8,138 to an existing Grêmio position at 64¢, bringing their investment to roughly $20,854.
  • The trade represented 739.5% of the detected 24-hour volume, while market activity spiked more than 2,300 times its recent average.
  • The wallet is up $468,783 lifetime, but its 51% win rate makes this a flow-based signal rather than a proven sharp-bettor call.

$8,138 on Grêmio FBPA | Wallet win rate: 51%

92% win-rate bettor makes huge underdog bet

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate placed a large, fresh position in a thin market amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 92% of 206 resolved positions and earned over $3.1 million.
  • The $6,966 wager is over six times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in Red Bull Bragantino.
  • The trade helped accompany a 12,841x pre-event volume spike while buying at just 36¢.

$6,966 on Red Bull Bragantino | Wallet win rate: 92%

Serial sports trader backs Grêmio

A highly active sports trader with a massive historical sample made a fresh $1,296 buy amid an extreme pre-event volume spike, though the trader's win rate does not clearly exceed the average odds paid.

  • This bettor has resolved 44,880 positions, a 71% win rate, and $5.66M in reported profit.
  • A fresh $1,296 buy on Grêmio triggered a 12,841× pre-event volume spike in this lightly traded market.
  • The entry at 64¢ implies roughly a 1.56× payout if Grêmio avoids a two-goal loss.

$1,296 on Grêmio FBPA | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf5f9...87b0 Outcome 10412200, $60,320 (92% win rate)
  2. 0x56ac...d77e Outcome 57889692, $12,716 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 10412200, $1,090 (65% win rate)
  4. 0x52d9...fb1a Outcome 10412200, $1,015 (70% win rate)
  5. 0x50e5...e39f Outcome 57889692, $200
  6. 0xe368...e9ed Outcome 10412200, $145
  7. 0xda77...683f Outcome 10412200, $88
  8. 0xeeaa...15ce Outcome 10412200, $81
  9. 0x3a72...c2a0 Outcome 10412200, $55
  10. 0xc8c8...b949 Outcome 10412200, $39

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

Covers 14 related markets

Paraguay fails to win

Covers 3 related markets

Austria routs Argentina after halftime

Covers 9 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

Covers 8 related markets

Ecuador wins big to nil

Covers 7 related markets

Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

Covers 9 related markets

Iraq upsets toothless France

Covers 15 related markets

France wins exactly 2-0

Covers 10 related markets

Norway and Senegal draw

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)

ResolvedRed Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA - More Markets$36,730 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesSoccerBrazil Serie A

In the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for August 23 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Red Bull Bragantino" if Red Bull Bragantino win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Grêmio FBPA". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Grêmio FBPA
72¢
67¢
62¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)

3h ago

$20,330 on Grêmio FBPA at 64¢

Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)

6h ago

$8,138 on Grêmio FBPA at 64¢

Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)

6h ago

$6,966 on Red Bull Bragantino at 36¢

Spread: Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5)

6h ago

$1,296 on Grêmio FBPA at 64¢

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
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Paraguay fails to win
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Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-1…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19…Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end …
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
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Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: Both Te…Argentina vs. Austria: Austria…
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
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Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both T…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden…
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 8 related markets
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Bot…Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U…
Ecuador wins big to nil
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Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O…Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half …
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
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Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Iraq upsets toothless France
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 15 related markets
Spread: France (-4.5)France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.…Spread: France (-1.5)
France wins exactly 2-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Spread: France (-2.5)
Norway and Senegal draw
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in…Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22…Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?