Part of: Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $37,439.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

78% win-rate esports sharp

Sharp wallet override: a profitable 78% lifetime winner with extensive cross-market history bought OG despite only a modest single-trade signal.

  • This bettor wins 78% across 2,171 resolved trades and is up $104,881 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $159,899 tracked across 59 events.
  • They bought OG at 87¢, slightly above the current 84¢ market price, signaling confidence in the favorite.

$1,747 on OG | Wallet win rate: 78%

Serial cross-market winner

Surfaced because a highly experienced wallet with a 75% win rate across 5,206 resolved bets is buying OG, supported by a serial cross-market trading pattern.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets across 5,206 markets and is up about $8.6k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 27 related events with a 75% win rate, suggesting a repeatable esports/sports edge.
  • The buy is on the heavy favorite at 87¢, so the copy setup is lower-upside but backed by a strong track record.

$3,000 on OG | Wallet win rate: 75%

Serial cross-market winner

Surfaced because a highly experienced wallet with a 75% win rate across 5,206 resolved bets is buying OG, supported by a serial cross-market trading pattern.

  • This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets across 5,206 markets and is up about $8.6k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 27 related events with a 75% win rate, suggesting a repeatable esports/sports edge.
  • The buy is on the heavy favorite at 87¢, so the copy setup is lower-upside but backed by a strong track record.

$2,000 on OG | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable cluster buying together

Five wallets bought Grind Back together, including two profitable high-volume bettors, while the price jumped 25 points from its prior range.

  • Five wallets bought $8.8K of Grind Back within about one minute at 54¢.
  • The flow includes a bettor up $1.27M lifetime and another who wins 71% of resolved bets with $113K profit.
  • Grind Back moved from a prior 29¢ range to 54¢, suggesting coordinated money is driving a major repricing.

$8,844 on Grind Back

87% esports bettor

Esports bettor has an 87% resolved hit rate with a large edge versus average odds, though lifetime P&L is negative and the stake is modest.

  • This bettor has won 20 of 23 resolved positions, a strong 87% hit rate.
  • Their wins came at average odds near 54%, suggesting they have beaten the market by a wide margin.
  • They bought OG at 52¢ in a liquid Dota market, and the price is now slightly cheaper around 50¢.

$1,100 on OG | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp esports whale

Sharp esports bettor with an 81% win rate and $560k lifetime profit bought $13.3k of OG at 53¢, backed by a long cross-market track record.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $560k lifetime.
  • They have traded 98 related events with an 81% win rate, suggesting a strong esports edge.
  • The $13.3k OG buy is a meaningful position at 53¢ in a market priced close to a coin flip.

$13,322 on OG | Wallet win rate: 82%

Sharp underdog esports bettor

Sharp esports bettor with an 81% long-run win rate and $584k profit bought the underdog Grind Back at 29¢, with the price already moving to 32¢.

  • This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $584k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 208 events with the same 81% hit rate, suggesting a real edge in event markets.
  • They bought Grind Back at 29¢ and the market has already moved to 32¢.

$2,425 on Grind Back | Wallet win rate: 81%

98% winner buying OG

Elite 98% win-rate bettor with over $6M profit bought $5k of OG in a thin esports market despite the price later drifting lower.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $6.0M lifetime.
  • They have a huge repeat pattern across esports and other events: 477 markets and nearly $12.0M traded.
  • The $5k OG buy was large for this market, equal to 63% of its 24h volume.

$5,000 on OG | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf070...ac55 Outcome 16184998, $21,300 (94% win rate)
  2. 0x6b97...8d30 Outcome 16184998, $13,518 (81% win rate)
  3. 0x7645...3117 Outcome 16184998, $6,572 (51% win rate)
  4. 0x52f9...1fb2 Outcome 16184998, $6,167 (97% win rate)
  5. 0x8a80...11c5 Outcome 16184998, $4,622 (89% win rate)
  6. 0xddb6...b9b3 Outcome 16184998, $4,149 (87% win rate)
  7. 0xd055...28d0 Outcome 16184998, $3,549 (71% win rate)
  8. 0xd4a4...a73e Outcome 16184998, $3,454 (39% win rate)
  9. 0x180c...cd04 Outcome 16184998, $2,140 (56% win rate)
  10. 0xb2d8...f6b6 Outcome 16184998, $2,131

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

This market refers to the Dota 2 Grand final match between OG and Grind Back in the The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 23 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "OG" if OG win the match against Grind Back. This market will resolve to "Grind Back" if Grind Back win the match against OG. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “OG
102¢
69¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

8d ago

$1,747 on OG at 87¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

8d ago

$3,000 on OG at 87¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

8d ago

$2,000 on OG at 87¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

8d ago

$8,844 on Grind Back at 54¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

8d ago

$1,100 on OG at 52¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

8d ago

$13,322 on OG at 53¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

8d ago

$2,425 on Grind Back at 29¢

Dota 2: OG vs Grind Back (BO5) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

8d ago

$5,000 on OG at 72¢

Related Theses