Part of: Portugal vs. DR Congo
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
12 smart money signals detected, totaling $372,489.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
43-wallet Yes surge
Strong coordinated Yes flow from 43 wallets drove the draw market to 100%, though this specific new wallet has no proven edge and the trade is likely no longer copyable at current odds.
- 43 wallets bought the same side, totaling $445k, with 6 wallets sharing a funder.
- The market saw a huge volume spike and Yes jumped 83.5 percentage points in the last day.
- This wallet is brand new and unproven, but its $4.1k trade was part of a much larger one-sided move.
$4,130 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 0%
43-wallet draw surge
High-conviction one-sided draw flow: 43 wallets bought Yes for $445k during a huge volume spike, and this new wallet caught the move before Yes reached 100%.
- 43 wallets bought the same side, totaling $445k, with 6 wallets linked by funding.
- This market saw a 78x volume spike and a 43-point move toward Yes.
- This new wallet bought Yes at 63¢ before the market moved to 100¢.
$8,893 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 50%
Linked whales backing Yes
A large linked-wallet cluster, including a highly profitable sharp wallet, bought nearly $196k of Yes and drove a major price move on heavy volume.
- 21 wallets bought $196k of Yes, with the flow tied to just 2 funding sources.
- The largest buyer is 11-for-11 on resolved bets and up about $639k lifetime.
- Yes moved from the mid-40¢ range to 78¢ as volume spiked 45.7x, so the signal is strong but already crowded.
$196,169 on Yes
Cluster caught 9¢ draw move
Three wallets pushed the draw side together before a sharp move from 9¢ to 28¢, with one participant showing strong lifetime profit, though the market is now far above their best entries.
- Three wallets all backed the draw, and the Yes price has already jumped from 9¢ to 28¢.
- One bettor in the cluster is up $262k lifetime across $4.8M traded.
- The best entries were much lower than the current price, so this is more useful as momentum to watch than an easy copy.
$5,588 on Yes
95% winner backs draw
Elite sports bettor with a 95% resolved-bet win rate and $4.2M profit bought $45k of the draw at 17¢.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $4.2M lifetime.
- They have traded across 495 events with the same 95% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- A $45k entry at 17¢ implies they see the draw as a meaningful misprice despite a liquid market.
$45,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 95%
94% winner backs no draw
Elite 94% winning wallet with $332k profit bought No on the draw market amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $332,079 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports/event trader across 76 events with the same 94% hit rate.
- Market activity spiked 673x versus normal before the match, supporting the sharp wallet signal.
$2,988 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
94% winner backs No
Surface because this is a proven sharp sports bettor with a 94% win rate and strong lifetime profit buying No amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved bets and is up about $205k lifetime.
- They have repeated cross-market success across 43 events with a 94% hit rate.
- Market activity spiked sharply before the match, and this wallet put nearly $4k on No at 83¢.
$3,984 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%
88% winner backing No
Elite sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $694k lifetime profit bought nearly $10k of No on the draw market amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $694k lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 182 events with the same 88% win rate.
- A $9,960 No buy came during a 673x pre-event volume spike.
$9,960 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
82% winner backing No
Sharp profitable wallet with an 82% resolved win rate is buying No on the draw despite the market already seeing a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $84K lifetime.
- They bought No at 83¢, meaning they are backing Portugal vs. DR Congo not to end in a draw.
- The market has seen a huge pre-game volume surge, with over $623K traded in the last 24 hours.
$2,865 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
75% winner buys No
A highly profitable wallet with a 75% win rate is buying No, supported by a major pre-event volume spike on the market.
- This bettor has won 696 of 929 resolved bets and is up about $104k lifetime.
- They bought nearly $2k of No at 83¢, backing Portugal vs. DR Congo not to end in a draw.
- Market activity has surged over 600x versus its historical average ahead of kickoff.
$1,992 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 78248766, $678,304 (62% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 78248766, $201,987
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 78248766, $143,590 (55% win rate)
- 0xee00...cea1 — Outcome 78248766, $53,238 (62% win rate)
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 78248766, $32,412 (54% win rate)
- 0x7d2f...ef1a — Outcome 78248766, $32,000 (55% win rate)
- 0x5351...9b3c — Outcome 78248766, $30,423 (54% win rate)
- 0x3496...8fc4 — Outcome 78248766, $30,000 (74% win rate)
- 0xa8a5...122b — Outcome 78248766, $17,700 (69% win rate)
- 0x7ea5...de7b — Outcome 78248766, $17,198 (62% win rate)
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