Part of: The Masters 2026: Winner

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,431.

Categories: Sports, Golf, PGA TOUR, The Masters, invitational, augusta

Notable Trades

95% win-rate sports sharp

A proven elite wallet with a 95% win rate and over $20.5M in profit is opening a fresh $5.1k position in a major sports market at 22¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market's deep liquidity.

  • This bettor wins 95% of their trades and is up $20.6M across 366 resolved bets
  • They trade across 77 related markets and 46 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • Bought at 22¢ in a major market, implying they see Scottie as meaningfully undervalued even after an 8-point weekly move

$5,105 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%

3-wallet Scheffler cluster

Three wallets piled into Scottie Scheffler Yes around 14-20¢, including a cross-market bettor and a 3-day-old wallet already sizing up, while the market has moved sharply higher in the last day.

  • Three wallets all bought Scottie Scheffler Yes for about $6.0k total, a coordinated one-sided bet rather than a lone trade.
  • One of the bettors is a 3-day-old wallet already on its second large alert, with 7 positions and early profits of $465.
  • Another wallet has 78 resolved bets and a 63% win rate, and it rotated out of a prior No position into the bullish side.

$5,953 on Yes

7-wallet funded cluster

A proven high-volume bettor from a 7-wallet funded cluster bought a large No position in a Masters winner market during a major volume spike, making this coordinated flow worth tracking.

  • This wallet has 4,196 resolved bets, wins 63% of them, and is up $124k overall
  • Seven wallets share the same funder and have deployed $33.8k, which points to coordinated conviction
  • The market saw a 200x volume spike, and this wallet bought No at 86¢ in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread

$7,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 59%

7-wallet funded cluster

A proven high-volume bettor from a 7-wallet linked cluster is buying the favored side amid a huge market-wide volume spike, making this coordinated flow worth tracking despite the small individual ticket.

  • 7 linked wallets share the same funder and have put $33.8k behind this market
  • This wallet has 2,487 resolved bets, wins 63% of them, and is up $28.7k lifetime
  • Market volume is running 200x above normal, suggesting broader coordinated interest around this outcome

$1,250 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%

7-wallet funded cluster

A highly active profitable wallet from a 7-wallet funded cluster bought Scottie Scheffler NO at 86¢ as linked money piled into the market during a major volume spike.

  • Seven linked wallets share the same funder and have put in $33.8k total, showing coordinated conviction.
  • This wallet has 3,868 resolved bets, wins 62% of them, and is up $63k overall.
  • Market volume surged 200x versus normal, suggesting broader informed positioning around this contract.

$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 58%

7-wallet funded cluster

A 7-wallet funded cluster is leaning the same way in a high-volume Masters market, and this wallet has a long history trading correlated event markets profitably enough to merit attention.

  • 7 linked wallets funded by the same source have put $33.8k behind the same thesis
  • This wallet has 457 resolved bets and is up $59.4k, showing repeatable event-trading experience
  • The bet came at 86¢ in a deep market with a 200x volume spike, signaling coordinated conviction rather than a random whale order

$10,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 55%

88% win-rate sports bettor

A bettor with an unusually strong 88% win rate and positive edge is making a fresh $4.1k position on a liquid sports market, which is worth tracking despite only one signal.

  • This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and is up $19.3k overall
  • They bought No at 86¢, a high-confidence position against a single golfer winning a year-ahead futures market
  • The bet is meaningful at $4.1k and appears to be a fresh position rather than routine profit-taking

$4,058 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

88% win-rate bettor

A wallet with an 88% win rate and strong edge opened a fresh bullish position on Scheffler by selling No at 85¢, implying conviction despite a liquid market and modest recent price movement.

  • This bettor wins 88% of their resolved trades and has made about $19.3k profit
  • Selling No at 85¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 15¢, close to the current 16¢ ask
  • The trade is a $6.3k fresh position from a proven wallet, not routine profit-taking

$6,274 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

A very active cross-market bettor with a 74% win rate and $16.2M in profit just made a $6.3k position against Scheffler in a liquid Masters market, making this worth tracking despite only one signal.

  • This bettor has won 747 of 1,014 resolved trades and is up $16.2M lifetime
  • They trade heavily across related markets — 169 events and 185 markets for $9.2M total volume
  • They bought No at 86¢, a high-confidence position against Scheffler winning the 2026 Masters

$6,290 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 88125433, $831,166
  2. 0x2b3f...3446 Outcome 10791499, $250,000 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x4608...d049 Outcome 10791499, $44,074 (39% win rate)
  4. 0x9c16...09cb Outcome 10791499, $42,100
  5. 0xf4a5...4dd9 Outcome 10791499, $36,543 (66% win rate)
  6. 0x05bf...1ab0 Outcome 10791499, $36,536 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x0344...a65e Outcome 10791499, $35,690 (83% win rate)
  8. 0xa864...f500 Outcome 10791499, $35,034 (100% win rate)
  9. 0xc269...8d0e Outcome 10791499, $33,688
  10. 0x781c...db68 Outcome 10791499, $32,863

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

ResolvedThe Masters 2026: Winner $51,431 tracked9 signalsSportsGolfPGA TOURThe Mastersinvitationalaugusta

This polymarket will resolve according to the player who wins the 2026 Masters Tournament. If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules. If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Notable Trades

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

41d ago

$5,105 on Yes at 22¢

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

38d ago

$5,953 on Yes at 14¢

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

41d ago

$7,500 on No at 86¢

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

41d ago

$1,250 on No at 86¢

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

41d ago

$5,000 on No at 86¢

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

41d ago

$10,000 on No at 86¢

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

44d ago

$4,058 on No at 86¢

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

44d ago

$6,274 on Yes at 15¢

Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?

49d ago

$6,290 on No at 86¢

Related Theses