Part of: 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg - More Markets

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

7 smart money signals detected, totaling $65,150.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, bundesliga

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

A proven sports bettor with a 73% win rate and strong profits is fading Over by effectively buying Under at 65¢, and the price has already moved in their favor.

This bettor has won 73% of 116 resolved bets and is up $63.9k overall
They effectively bought Under at 65¢ by selling Over at 35¢, and the market is now 69¢ on Under
This wallet has shown the same event-driven pattern across 31 events and 36 markets with $134.9k deployed

$5,482 on Under | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable live sports bettor

A proven profitable sports trader with a 73% win rate made a sizable live bet on Over just 4.6 minutes before resolution during a major volume spike, suggesting a thesis worth tracking despite the market moving against the entry afterward.

This bettor wins 73% of resolved trades and is up $63.9k across 116 bets.
They placed a $7.9k live bet just 4.6 minutes before resolution, a pattern that can reflect strong in-game reads.
The market saw a 29.3x volume spike, and their 50¢ entry implied near coin-flip odds versus 42¢ now.

$7,880 on Over | Wallet win rate: 77%

Sharp trio late on Over

Three wallets piled into Over for $10.1k shortly before the match ended, led by two high-volume profitable traders with strong long-term win rates.

Two proven bettors led this move: one wins 73% of 116 resolved trades, another wins 63% across 377 resolved markets.
All 3 wallets bought Over for $10.1k, with the biggest bet nearly $7.9k placed about 5 minutes before resolution.
They entered at 50¢ in a liquid market, suggesting they saw the total-goals line as mispriced right at the end of play.

$10,121 on Over

87% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with an exceptional long-term edge bought Over at 51¢ into a strong pre-match volume spike, making this a copy-trade-worthy signal despite the market being liquid.

This bettor wins 87% of their resolved trades and is up $524.7k lifetime across 305 markets.
They also trade heavily across related events — 177 markets over 130 events — which suggests a repeatable sports betting edge rather than a one-off punt.
They bought Over at 51¢ during a 264x pre-match volume surge, implying they still saw value near even odds.

$5,025 on Over | Wallet win rate: 24%

Sharp cluster buying Under

Four wallets piled $17.2k into Under within one minute, including a standout bettor with a 91% win rate over 174 resolved markets, making this coordinated soccer flow worth following.

A bettor who wins 91% of their trades and is up $243.7k joined this same-side move.
Four wallets bought $17.2k of Under within one minute, showing concentrated conviction.
They entered around 49-50¢, implying they see Under as better than a coin flip.

$17,181 on Under

98% win-rate sports bettor

A bettor with a 98% win rate and $2.2M profit made a fresh $13.1k buy on Over in this Bundesliga total, backed by a strong long-term cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 48 of 49 resolved trades and is up $2.2M overall.
They have made nearly $1.94M of cross-market bets across 58 events, which points to a repeatable edge rather than a one-off hit.
They bought Over at 51¢, a sizable $13.1k position in a liquid market right before kickoff.

$13,069 on Over | Wallet win rate: 93%

87% win-rate sharp bettor

A proven sharp bettor with an 87% win rate and over $524k in profit just bought Over at 54¢, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the market being fairly liquid.

This bettor wins 87% of their trades and is up $524k across 305 resolved positions.
They trade heavily across sports markets — 175 markets in 129 events with $733k deployed.
Bought Over at 54¢, a price that suggests they see the true odds as meaningfully higher.

$6,391 on Over | Wallet win rate: 24%

Top Holders

0xfd29...77ae — Outcome 11169996, $99,618 (93% win rate)
0xee77...7e89 — Outcome 11169996, $2,119 (20% win rate)
0xb6d0...9b55 — Outcome 11169996, $985 (55% win rate)
0x258f...4493 — Outcome 11169996, $428
0xe550...4ebb — Outcome 11169996, $278 (98% win rate)
0x6619...703e — Outcome 11169996, $256 (99% win rate)
0x391c...ea3f — Outcome 11169996, $170
0xa69c...890e — Outcome 11169996, $158
0x68d1...f166 — Outcome 11169996, $148
0x832c...c46e — Outcome 11169996, $104

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5

Resolved1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg - More Markets$65,150 tracked7 signalsSportsGamesSoccerbundesliga

In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg, scheduled for April 12 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.