Part of: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies

1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $496,872.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

17-wallet linked Phillies push

A large coordinated Phillies-side move hit at 55¢ and resolved to 100%, despite the main wallet’s poor long-term record.

  • 17 wallets all bought the same side, putting over $552k behind Philadelphia Phillies.
  • The main wallet placed a huge $200k buy at 55¢ that finished at $1.00.
  • This came in a thin market where the bet dwarfed recent volume, suggesting strong conviction.

$269,956 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 46%

7-wallet Phillies steam

Surface for the unusually large coordinated Phillies-side flow and major pre-event repricing, despite the lead wallet’s weak historical record.

  • Seven wallets bought the same side for about $398k, far larger than this market’s normal activity.
  • The main buy came at 55¢ and the price quickly moved to 75¢, showing the market repriced hard around this flow.
  • The lead wallet is not a proven winner, so the edge is the coordinated size and timing rather than its track record.

$226,916 on Philadelphia Phillies | Wallet win rate: 46%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbbc8...4f5b Outcome 61505644, $231 (77% win rate)
  2. 0xa3c2...df3d Outcome 61505644, $166
  3. 0x3f0b...5720 Outcome 61505644, $80
  4. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 61505644, $23 (58% win rate)
  5. 0x8a3d...0b63 Outcome 61505644, $20
  6. 0xdd5e...9040 Outcome 61505644, $13 (79% win rate)
  7. 0xeab7...b389 Outcome 61505644, $5

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1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

ResolvedNew York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies$496,872 tracked2 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies, scheduled for July 16 at 7:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets is winning the game by 2 or more runs at the conclusion of the 5th inning. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game is tied at the conclusion of the 5th inning, this market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the 5th inning has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

NYM
1
41-57
Live
2
0-0, 1 out
PHI
2
54-44
NYM +144PHI -175O/U 9
Venue
Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
Weather
89° Partly sunny

Notable Trades

1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

1d ago

$269,956 on Philadelphia Phillies at 55¢

1st 5 Innings Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)

1d ago

$226,916 on Philadelphia Phillies at 55¢

Related Theses