Part of: Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?

This Polymarket market predicts whether Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) will close higher or lower on May 11, 2026 compared with its most recent prior trading-day close. PolySpotter is tracking $2,451 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including a recent alert that a profitable bettor moved a thin market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on May 11, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on May 11, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,451.

Categories: ABNB, Equities, Up or Down, Daily, Finance, Stocks, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Rewards Automation 50 4.5 50

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor moved thin market

A profitable high-volume wallet made a large Up bet that dwarfed prior 24h volume on a thin ABNB daily market and the price moved sharply afterward.

  • This bettor is up $164k lifetime across more than 2,400 resolved trades.
  • The $2.45k Up buy was over 4x the market’s prior 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.
  • They entered at 77¢ and the market has already moved to 88¢, suggesting other buyers followed the same direction.

$2,451 on Up | Wallet win rate: 50%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdd2a...315e Down, $5,150 (98% win rate)
  2. 0x969f...4d55 Up, $3,723 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x982a...6851 Up, $634
  4. 0xa540...0b43 Up, $629 (40% win rate)
  5. 0x162e...fe52 Down, $399 (53% win rate)
  6. 0xf971...0a57 Up, $300
  7. 0x5115...1ea8 Up, $237
  8. 0xb6ae...ebf4 Up, $168
  9. 0x5b63...11a4 Down, $167 (71% win rate)
  10. 0xfd14...f20d Down, $67

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

NVDA stays above $192

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Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?

3hAirbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?$2,451 tracked1 signalABNBEquitiesUp or DownDailyFinanceHide From NewStocksDaily-CloseFinance UpdownPyth FinanceRewards Automation 50 4.5 50
Up
21¢
Down
80¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on May 11, 2026 is higher than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on May 11, 2026 is lower than the Close price for Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.ABNB%2FUSD?t=1773432000).

Price History — “Down
83¢
57¢
32¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Airbnb (ABNB) Up or Down on May 11?

2h ago

$2,451 on Up at 77¢

77¢21¢56¢

Related Theses