Part of: Aligned Layer FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch?
This prediction market asks whether Aligned’s official token will have a fully diluted valuation above $100 million one day after it becomes actively and publicly tradable. It resolves based on FDV, calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price, with final resolution scheduled for January 1, 2028 if needed. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,215 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Aligned's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by Aligned will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Aligned (https://x.com/alignedlayer) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,215.
Categories: Crypto, FDV, Pre-Market, Aligned Layer
Notable Trades
Profitable sharp in thin market
A profitable high-volume bettor bought Yes in a very thin crypto FDV market, making the weak low-activity signal worth surfacing under the sharp-wallet override.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $41K lifetime.
- The $1.2K Yes buy is large for this quiet market, with only $3.5K total volume and $6.6K liquidity.
- Entry at 84¢ suggests they are backing the high-probability side despite the market being thin and wide-spread.
$1,215 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0x8a97...593d — Yes, $1,447 (82% win rate)
- 0x4d45...97f4 — No, $1,200
- 0x604a...a58e — Yes, $633 (75% win rate)
- 0x9b29...ebae — No, $494 (40% win rate)
- 0x8a07...1d4d — Yes, $156 (42% win rate)
- 0x4ffe...9f71 — No, $123
- 0x324d...cdf3 — No, $73
- 0x981d...ed7f — No, $68
- 0xad53...ef24 — No, $52
- 0xd4aa...d40c — No, $50
