Part of: Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,597.

Categories: Earthquakes, Weather, Natural Disasters, Science, Culture

Notable Trades

97% serial cross-market bettor

A highly prolific profitable cross-market bettor bought No in a thin earthquake market with size far above recent volume, though the position has moved against their entry.

This bettor has won 97% of 1,100 resolved trades and is up $29K lifetime.
Their $1.5K No buy was over 3x the market’s recent 24h volume in a thin order book.
They entered at 88¢, while No is now around 74¢, offering a cheaper price than their fill.

$1,528 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

97% serial forecaster

Surface because this is a proven serial cross-market trader with a 97% resolved win rate adding a large No bet that dwarfs recent volume in a thin earthquake market.

This bettor has won 97% of 1,073 resolved markets and is up $46K lifetime.
They have traded across 60 events with over $407K in similar cross-market activity.
This $1.1K No buy was about 2.5x the market’s 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.

$1,069 on No | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

0x21d0...ce91 — Outcome 40605821, $2,224 (83% win rate)
0xab18...467d — Outcome 40605821, $1,600
0x897a...4194 — Outcome 40605821, $257
0x6b7b...bd5d — Outcome 40605821, $78
0x7f15...52f1 — Outcome 40605821, $77
0x6081...3134 — Outcome 40605821, $56
0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 40605821, $50
0xc0a6...2ab9 — Outcome 40605821, $50
0xc313...8b1f — Outcome 40605821, $50
0x9cb3...1367 — Outcome 40605821, $45

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Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?

ResolvedAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by...?$2,597 tracked2 signalsEarthquakesWeatherNatural DisastersScienceCulture

This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.