Part of: Antalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz

Antalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz

This Polymarket tennis market tracks whether Alevtina Ibragimova or Leyre Romero Gormaz advances in their Antalya 4 match, scheduled for September 9, 2026. Live odds and smart money activity can indicate how traders are evaluating each player; the market is set to resolve by September 16, 2026, under its stated rules.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,479.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Serial trader ahead of major volume surge

A serial cross-market trader with extensive history bought the favorite before a 53.7x volume surge and 44-point daily price move, though the track record does not show clear odds-adjusted edge.

  • This trader has participated in 3,767 markets and is up $6.9 million across 69,650 resolved bets.
  • The $1,016 purchase preceded a 53.7x volume spike and a sharp move from roughly 44¢ to 88¢ for Alevtina Ibragimova.
  • The 70% win rate is substantial, but below the trader’s 75¢ average winning entry, so the edge is suggestive rather than proven here.

$1,016 on Alevtina Ibragimova | Wallet win rate: 70%

Sharp bettor scaling into Leyre

A highly profitable serial bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding $3,634 to an existing Leyre Romero Gormaz position in a relatively quiet market.

  • This bettor wins 82% of 198 resolved trades and is up $418,463 lifetime.
  • They added $3,634 to an existing Leyre Romero Gormaz position despite the market falling to 58%.
  • The trade represented roughly 77% of the reported 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.

$3,634 on Leyre Romero Gormaz | Wallet win rate: 82%

97% winner backs Alevtina

An exceptionally profitable serial bettor with a 97% win rate and 47-point edge bought Alevtina at 50%, making this a strong sharp-bettor signal despite the subsequent price decline.

  • This bettor has won 263 of 270 resolved positions and is up $365,048 lifetime.
  • The wallet bought Alevtina at 50%, implying meaningful value against the roughly 46% current price.
  • The position is part of a 242-market cross-event track record, not an isolated wager.

$1,829 on Alevtina Ibragimova | Wallet win rate: 97%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3f98...0aa1 Outcome 81693173, $16,890 (82% win rate)
  2. 0xf83b...44a2 Outcome 81693173, $4,017 (87% win rate)
  3. 0x796f...00f6 Outcome 81693173, $2,133 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x6ddd...8011 Outcome 81693173, $800
  5. 0xc4fe...601f Outcome 81693173, $781
  6. 0xd868...7f60 Outcome 81693173, $697 (33% win rate)
  7. 0xc98f...a13f Outcome 81693173, $484
  8. 0x6a80...d472 Outcome 81693173, $447
  9. 0x6b06...c9f9 Outcome 81693173, $343
  10. 0xe689...aae5 Outcome 81693173, $337

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

Covers 14 related markets

Paraguay fails to win

Covers 3 related markets

Austria routs Argentina after halftime

Covers 9 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

Covers 8 related markets

Ecuador wins big to nil

Covers 7 related markets

Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

Covers 9 related markets

Iraq upsets toothless France

Covers 15 related markets

France wins exactly 2-0

Covers 10 related markets

Norway and Senegal draw

Covers 3 related markets

Antalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz

4dAntalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz$6,479 tracked3 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Alevtina Ibragimova and Leyre Romero Gormaz in the Antalya 4, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alevtina Ibragimova' if Alevtina Ibragimova advances against Leyre Romero Gormaz. This market will resolve to 'Leyre Romero Gormaz' if Leyre Romero Gormaz advances against Alevtina Ibragimova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Alevtina Ibragimova
84¢
54¢
24¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Antalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz

2d ago

$1,016 on Alevtina Ibragimova at 82¢

Antalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz

2d ago

$3,634 on Leyre Romero Gormaz at 64¢

Antalya 4: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Leyre Romero Gormaz

2d ago

$1,829 on Alevtina Ibragimova at 50¢

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 14 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Paraguay fails to win
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-1…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19…Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end …
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: Both Te…Argentina vs. Austria: Austria…
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both T…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden…
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 8 related markets
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Bot…Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U…
Ecuador wins big to nil
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 7 related markets
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O…Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half …
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Iraq upsets toothless France
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 15 related markets
Spread: France (-4.5)France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.…Spread: France (-1.5)
France wins exactly 2-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Spread: France (-2.5)
Norway and Senegal draw
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in…Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22…Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?