Part of: Antalya 4: Francesca Jones vs Rositsa Dencheva
Antalya 4: Francesca Jones vs Rositsa Dencheva
This tennis prediction market covers the Antalya 4 match between Francesca Jones and Rositsa Dencheva, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances; the market currently has $3,203 in tracked smart money across two signals, while live odds may change on Polymarket.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,258.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
97% win-rate serial bettor
A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and 47-point edge bought Francesca Jones at 68%, making this a notable contrarian position despite the market moving to 40%.
- This bettor has won 269 of 276 resolved trades, with a $375,818 lifetime profit and a 47-point edge over average odds.
- The wallet actively trades across 248 events and 250 markets, suggesting a broad, repeatable betting process rather than a one-off wager.
- Francesca Jones was bought at 68% while the market now prices her at 40%, making this a high-conviction contrarian position after a sharp 1-day decline.
$1,847 on Francesca Jones | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp serial cross-market bettor
A proven, highly active bettor with a 75% win rate and substantial edge added to Francesca Jones, though the existing two-sided position makes this trade less clean to copy.
- This bettor has won 75% of 146 resolved trades and is up nearly $80,000.
- They have traded 50 events and reportedly beat implied odds by 26%, suggesting a meaningful long-term edge.
- The position is hedged with existing Rositsa shares, and Francesca has since fallen from the 65¢ entry to about 40¢.
$1,356 on Francesca Jones | Wallet win rate: 73%
Three-wallet Jones buying surge
Three wallets committed $23.5K to Francesca Jones amid a 67.9x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated tennis-market signal despite mixed trader track records.
- Three wallets bought Francesca Jones for $23,458 during a 67.9x spike in typical market activity.
- The largest buyer has won 70% of 71,084 resolved bets and earned $6.7M lifetime, though its average winning entry is relatively high at 75¢.
- The cluster's blended entry was about 54¢, while Jones now trades near 56¢ after notable recent price movement.
$4,207 on Francesca Jones
Sharp bettor scaling into Rositsa
A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 76% win rate and substantial existing Rositsa position is adding to a contrarian tennis bet in a relatively thin market.
- This bettor wins 76% of 200 resolved trades and is up $418,242 lifetime.
- They are adding to a $16,364 Rositsa position after buying at 31%, despite the market now pricing her at 22%.
- The bet is a meaningful 37% of the market’s 24-hour volume, while Rositsa’s price has fallen 9 percentage points from entry.
$1,849 on Rositsa Dencheva | Wallet win rate: 75%
Top Holders
- 0x9c68...247a — Outcome 10761571, $28,348 (47% win rate)
- 0xe98c...8792 — Outcome 10761571, $2,731 (97% win rate)
- 0xae5c...5df7 — Outcome 10761571, $1,700 (72% win rate)
- 0x41a6...fcf2 — Outcome 10761571, $1,429 (92% win rate)
- 0x9ec2...bd08 — Outcome 20862194, $1,385 (42% win rate)
- 0x581f...9d8e — Outcome 10761571, $1,047 (80% win rate)
- 0x6b3f...67f1 — Outcome 10761571, $952
- 0x125a...4f02 — Outcome 10761571, $857 (96% win rate)
- 0x26a7...4fba — Outcome 10761571, $769
- 0xecb0...2329 — Outcome 10761571, $515
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