What does the Arc FDV above $800M market predict?

It predicts whether Arc’s governance token will reach a fully diluted valuation greater than $800 million one day after launch.

When does this Arc FDV market resolve?

The market resolves at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following Arc’s token launch, provided the token is actively and publicly transferable and tradable.

How is Arc’s FDV calculated for this market?

FDV is calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price at the relevant resolution time.

What counts as Arc’s token launch?

For this market, launch requires the governance token to be publicly transferable and tradable. If it is not actively tradable, it may not qualify as launched.

What smart money activity is PolySpotter tracking?

PolySpotter is tracking $1,877 in smart money on this market, with 1 signal so far, including a recent alert that a sharp trader bought thin YES.

Part of: Arc FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?

This Polymarket market asks whether Arc’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $800 million at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after launch. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,877 in smart money activity and 1 signal, including a recent alert that a sharp trader bought thin YES. The market resolves based on total token supply multiplied by token price once the token is publicly transferable and tradable.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,877.

Categories: Crypto, FDV, Pre-Market, Arc

Notable Trades

90% sharp bought thin YES

Sharp profitable wallet with a 90% record bought a large Yes position on a very thin Arc FDV market before the price jumped from 75% to 90%.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up about $139k lifetime.
They bought Yes at 75¢ on a thin market, and the price has already moved to 90¢.
The trade was far larger than recent activity, suggesting strong conviction on Arc clearing $800M FDV.

$1,877 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%