Part of: Argentina vs. Austria - More Markets
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
31 smart money signals detected, totaling $662,719.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Three sharp bettors on Over
Three historically profitable wallets with strong win records took the same Over position, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
- Three profitable bettors with 76–88% records are all taking Over.
- They put $7.6k behind the same view, including two Under sells that equal Over buys at 15–20¢.
- The market has crashed to 6¢, making this a high-risk contrarian sharp-wallet signal.
$7,621 on Over
Sharp bettor joins Over cluster
Sharp profitable wallet bought Over at 23¢ alongside one-sided cluster flow, despite the market moving down sharply.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $19.9K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought the same Over side for $9.5K total, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- Entry at 23¢ implies a high-upside contrarian bet after Over fell about 29% in the past day.
$1,952 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%
97% winner buying Over
Elite 97% win-rate bettor with $2.84M profit bought $14k of Over, alongside one-sided flow from 7 wallets, despite the market moving against their 41¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $2.84M lifetime.
- They put $14,000 on Over at 41¢, implying a much higher chance than the current 30¢ market price.
- Seven wallets bought the same side for $22,736 total, adding support to the Over thesis.
$14,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 96%
87% sharp joins Over cluster
Sharp profitable wallet with an 87% resolved win rate bought Over alongside one-sided cluster flow, despite the market moving lower since entry.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $670K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 226 events with the same 87% hit rate.
- Seven wallets bought Over in the same window for $22.7K total, adding cluster support.
$2,333 on Over | Wallet win rate: 85%
Sharp bettor backing Under
Sharp profitable sports bettor bought Under alongside one-sided cluster flow, with the price already moving from 60% to 64%.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $82.7k lifetime.
- Six wallets bought the same Under side for about $22k total.
- Entry at 60¢ is already marked up to 64¢, suggesting the market is following this move.
$6,248 on Under | Wallet win rate: 78%
79% winner with crowd flow
Sharp 79% lifetime winner is buying Over alongside 12-wallet one-sided flow, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $43k lifetime.
- 12 wallets bought the same Over side for a combined $20.8k.
- The trade entered at 50¢, while the market is now around 46¢.
$2,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%
94% winner buying Over
A highly profitable sports bettor with a 94% resolved win rate is buying Over despite a liquid market and modest price movement.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $77k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market sports record: 37 events, 45 markets, and $89k traded.
- Entry at 49¢ gives near-even exposure to a bettor with a very strong track record.
$1,700 on Over | Wallet win rate: 95%
88% sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with an 88% historical win rate and positive P&L is buying Under 2.5 at 52¢ despite this being a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 88% of tracked resolved bets and is up $1.8K lifetime.
- Their wins came at average 54¢ odds, suggesting they have beaten market prices by a wide margin.
- They are buying Under at 52¢ in a highly liquid match market, where the current price is still close to their entry.
$1,002 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%
90% win-rate bettor
A high-win-rate sports bettor bought Over at 49¢, though the $2k size is modest in a very liquid market and lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor has won 18 of 20 resolved bets, usually at much tougher prices around 56¢.
- They are buying Over at 49¢, where a win would roughly double the stake.
- The market is very liquid, so this is mainly a track-record follow rather than a whale signal.
$2,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 92%
94% cross-market bettor
Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with a 15/16 resolved record is effectively buying Under 2.5 at 52¢ amid a major pre-game volume spike.
- This bettor has won 15 of 16 resolved positions, with entries averaging around 45¢.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 31 events and $230K in volume.
- This $7.2K sell of Over is effectively a buy on Under at 52¢, with market volume running 28.6x above normal.
$7,200 on Under | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x204c...8fe1 — Outcome 10646037, $1,499,999
- 0xc1da...fefa — Outcome 10646037, $330,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x4d30...a42d — Outcome 10646037, $310,000 (90% win rate)
- 0x56b4...a84b — Outcome 10646037, $268,201 (100% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 10646037, $150,000 (94% win rate)
- 0x23d8...0288 — Outcome 10646037, $56,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xa6d1...286a — Outcome 10646037, $50,000 (80% win rate)
- 0xdee3...6fe5 — Outcome 10646037, $40,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 10646037, $33,860 (96% win rate)
- 0x34f6...4535 — Outcome 10646037, $30,107 (91% win rate)
Related Theses
Argentina routs Jordan early
Covers 4 related markets
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
Czechia wins big early
Covers 3 related markets
Canada Qatar first-half shootout
Covers 5 related markets
Germany wins high-scoring rout
Covers 4 related markets
Argentina, France, or Spain wins
Covers 3 related markets
France Northern Ireland goals galore
Covers 3 related markets
Goals, not Germany by two
Covers 5 related markets
Panama Croatia stays low-scoring
Covers 3 related markets


