Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
This Polymarket tracks whether the Arizona Diamondbacks and Baltimore Orioles will combine for more than 8.5 total runs in their April 14 MLB game. The market resolves to Over if 9 or more runs are scored, and Under if the game finishes with 8 or fewer. Recent smart money activity shows multiple linked wallet clusters leaning Under, alongside a smaller Over signal.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for April 14 at 6:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Arizona Diamondbacks and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $309,190.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
89% win-rate sports bettor
A highly proven sports bettor with an 89% win rate and $2.19M profit is buying Over at 50¢ in a market seeing a sharp pregame volume surge.
- This bettor wins 89% of 1,249 resolved bets and is up $2.19M lifetime
- They trade heavily across sports markets with strong results: 605 events, 820 markets, $3.5M deployed
- Bought Over at 50¢ as pregame volume jumped 339x, suggesting conviction before first pitch
$1,457 on Over | Wallet win rate: 89%
84% winner buys Under
A bettor with an 84% win rate and nearly $2.9M in profit just put $157.6k on Under at 50¢ into a large pregame volume surge, making this worth watching despite the modest composite score.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $2.9M lifetime
- They just put $157.6k on Under at 50¢, a very large bet at even odds
- The market saw a 339x pregame volume spike, suggesting sharp money is piling in
$157,614 on Under | Wallet win rate: 84%
Sharp 3-wallet Over cluster
Three wallets with strong historical results all bought Over at 52¢, led by one bettor with a 90% win rate and nearly $900k in profit, making this coordinated sports flow worth surfacing despite the modest size in a liquid market.
- Three wallets all bought Over within minutes, led by a bettor who wins 90% of 799 resolved bets and is up $892k.
- Another wallet is 20 for 20 with a 100% hit rate, and the group also shows a 71% win rate across 26 sports markets.
- They entered at 52¢, a near coin-flip price that suggests they see clear value on the Over.
$4,049 on Over
Sharp 8-wallet Under cluster
A proven 84% win-rate bettor bought Under at 50¢ alongside an 8-wallet, mostly linked $109k one-sided cluster on this MLB total, making it a strong copy-trade signal.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $2.9M lifetime
- Eight wallets piled into Under for $109k total, with 6 tied to the same funder
- They bought at 50¢, suggesting they see the Under as better than a coin flip
$29,547 on Under | Wallet win rate: 84%
8-wallet linked Under cluster
Eight wallets, including six linked by funding, piled into Under for over $109k on this MLB total, and this wallet is a high-volume cross-market bettor with a profitable history.
- Eight wallets all bought Under, totaling $109k, and six of them share a funder.
- This wallet has made bets across 195 markets with a 59% win rate and is up $64.5k overall.
- They entered Under at 49¢ while the market still sits near 48-49¢, showing coordinated conviction rather than chasing a huge move.
$2,388 on Under | Wallet win rate: 58%
8-wallet linked Under cluster
A linked 8-wallet cluster put $109k on Under in this MLB total, making this single buy worth surfacing despite the individual wallet’s weak standalone P&L.
- 8 wallets are all buying Under here, and 6 of them share the same funder.
- The group has put $109k behind this side, far bigger than this wallet's $4.8k piece alone.
- This bettor trades heavily across sports markets, but the real signal is the coordinated one-way flow rather than their personal track record.
$4,850 on Under | Wallet win rate: 56%
8-wallet linked Under cluster
Eight wallets, six of them linked, piled $109k into Under at 48-50¢, led by one wallet with an 84% win rate and $2.9M profit, making this a strong coordinated sharp-bettor signal.
- Eight wallets bought the same side within minutes, putting $109k on Under and six share the same funder.
- The lead wallet wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $2.9M, buying this line around 48-50¢.
- This market saw a 76.9x volume spike, so the coordinated flow looks like a real thesis rather than routine activity.
$109,285 on Under
Top Holders
- 0x63a5...8e33 — Under, $451,770 (84% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Over, $178,090 (53% win rate)
- 0x5c3a...020b — Over, $62,216 (56% win rate)
- 0xee61...debf — Over, $54,635 (50% win rate)
- 0x709e...66f5 — Over, $50,000 (83% win rate)
- 0xc350...3669 — Over, $50,000 (63% win rate)
- 0x3b5c...126e — Over, $40,800 (80% win rate)
- 0x37c1...c53a — Over, $36,730 (67% win rate)
- 0x5d1d...afd2 — Under, $35,567 (56% win rate)
- 0x777d...5143 — Over, $21,599 (52% win rate)
