Part of: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

This prediction market covers the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals MLB game scheduled for September 9 at 7:40 PM ET. It resolves to the winning team after the game is completed; $3,058 in smart-money activity and one tracked signal have been recorded so far. If the game is canceled without a makeup or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $61,535.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader buys Royals

A highly experienced and profitable serial trader bought $3,058 of Kansas City at 88¢ before the price rose to 96¢.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 8,254 resolved trades and earned nearly $7.8M in profit.
  • They placed $3,058 on Kansas City at 88¢, with the market now pricing the Royals at 96¢.
  • The wallet has traded across 1,309 markets and 960 events, providing a substantial track record beyond this single bet.

$3,058 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 66%

Massive pre-event volume surge

A major pre-event volume surge and a highly active profitable trader provide a meaningful directional signal toward Kansas City, despite the wallet's only moderate win rate.

  • Trading volume reached 655 times its historical average, with $122,550 traded in 24 hours.
  • A trader with 19,061 resolved bets and $3.1 million lifetime profit bought $1,863 of Kansas City at 57¢.
  • Kansas City is priced at 57% after a 9-point daily move, making this a timely but not risk-free signal.

$1,863 on Kansas City Royals | Wallet win rate: 56%

94% win-rate bettor backs Arizona

An exceptionally profitable sports bettor with a 94% win rate and $4.7 million in lifetime profit made a concentrated $20,800 bet on Arizona at 52%.

  • This bettor has won 567 of 602 resolved positions and is up $4.7 million lifetime.
  • They placed a concentrated $20,800 bet on Arizona at 52%, far above the indicated $1,352 24-hour volume in the alert.
  • The bettor has traded 841 markets across 698 events, suggesting a highly experienced and consistently active sports-market participant.

$20,800 on Arizona Diamondbacks | Wallet win rate: 94%

96% bettor joins D-backs cluster

A high-performing bettor joined a $35.8K coordinated Arizona position amid a 312x volume spike, though the trade is weakened by existing losing positions and a sharp subsequent price decline.

  • A bettor with a 96% win rate across 25 resolved positions bought Arizona alongside two other wallets.
  • Three wallets committed $35,814 during a 311.7x historical volume spike, creating unusually concentrated sports-market flow.
  • The signal is less clean because all three wallets already held Arizona and the price has since fallen from roughly 45¢ to 14¢.

$35,814 on Arizona Diamondbacks

Top Holders

  1. 0x3dfb...abaf Outcome 28914170, $93,668 (49% win rate)
  2. 0x16bb...8492 Outcome 28914170, $40,000 (94% win rate)
  3. 0xa2b5...4582 Outcome 28914170, $21,197 (54% win rate)
  4. 0xd4fb...4c2a Outcome 28914170, $6,000 (100% win rate)
  5. 0x2b34...176e Outcome 28914170, $3,845 (100% win rate)
  6. 0x9662...ec48 Outcome 28914170, $3,124 (96% win rate)
  7. 0x5b63...11a4 Outcome 28914170, $1,693 (71% win rate)
  8. 0x0a77...9d74 Outcome 28914170, $1,538
  9. 0xed02...85f7 Outcome 28914170, $1,087 (94% win rate)
  10. 0xb6ff...3535 Outcome 28914170, $954

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game

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Marlins win, runs stay low

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Yankees win in a high-scoring game

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Tigers win a high-scoring game

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Brewers win in a high-scoring game

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Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Tigers win a low-scoring game

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Rays win, total not eight

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Cubs dominate a low-scoring game

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High-scoring Giants-Guardians showdown

Covers 3 related markets

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

5dArizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals$61,535 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Kansas City Royals, scheduled for September 9 at 7:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. This market will resolve to "Kansas City Royals" if the Kansas City Royals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

ARI
2
78-69
Final
KC
5
65-82
ARI -115KC -105O/U 9
Venue
Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
Attendance
15,369
Price History — “Kansas City Royals
94¢
70¢
46¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

1d ago

$3,058 on Kansas City Royals at 88¢

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

1d ago

$1,863 on Kansas City Royals at 57¢

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

1d ago

$20,800 on Arizona Diamondbacks at 52¢

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals

1d ago

$35,814 on Arizona Diamondbacks at 45¢

Related Theses

Dodgers beat Braves in high-scoring game
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlant…
Marlins win, runs stay low
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Yankees win in a high-scoring game
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Will there be a run scored in …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …Seattle Mariners vs. New York …
Tigers win a high-scoring game
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Brewers win in a high-scoring game
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Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee B…
Diamondbacks win in a low-scoring game
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Di…Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (…
Tigers win a low-scoring game
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Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland G…
Rays win, total not eight
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red …
Cubs dominate a low-scoring game
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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cu…Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cu…
High-scoring Giants-Guardians showdown
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Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-…San Francisco Giants vs. Cleve…San Francisco Giants vs. Cleve…