Part of: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,505.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Four-wallet sharp sports cluster
A four-wallet sports cluster, including highly profitable bettors, made a concentrated Arizona bet before the price collapsed, making this a notable but currently unvalidated conviction signal.
- Four wallets committed $13,424 to Arizona, including bettors with 60% and 69% win rates across thousands of resolved markets.
- The bets were made around 51¢–68¢, but Arizona has since fallen to about 20¢ after a 16.7-point price drop.
- This is worth studying as coordinated sharp positioning, though the large unrealized loss makes it a poor blind copy at the original prices.
$13,424 on Arizona Diamondbacks
Three-wallet Pirates conviction
Three wallets concentrated over $5,000 on Pittsburgh, including one adding to a large existing position, while their buying helped drive a sharp 27-point price move.
- Three wallets bought more than $5,100 of Pittsburgh exposure in a concentrated burst.
- One bettor added to an existing $36,800 Pirates position, signaling increased conviction.
- Their buying coincided with a reported 27-point Pirates price jump, though the market has since traded back to 36¢.
$5,133 on Pittsburgh Pirates
95% winner adds to Pittsburgh
A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate is adding $2,002 to Pittsburgh during a major volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the existing position.
- This bettor has won 95% of 1,303 resolved positions and is up $555,230.
- The trader is adding $2,002 to Pittsburgh at 45¢ after already investing $4,450 in the same outcome.
- Market volume is running 75 times above its historical average, while Pittsburgh remains priced near 46%.
$2,003 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 94%
84% win-rate serial bettor
A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate and substantial positive edge opened a fresh $4,710 position on Pittsburgh at 51%.
- This bettor wins 84% of 150 resolved positions and is up $4.3M overall.
- The wallet has traded 195 markets across 180 events, indicating a sustained and repeatable edge.
- A fresh $4,710 buy on Pittsburgh was placed near even odds, with no prior position-management signal.
$4,710 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 83%
97% winner scaling into Pittsburgh
A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate is adding $5,236 to a Pirates position at 51 cents.
- This bettor has won 111 of 114 resolved trades and earned $827,788 in profit.
- The trader is adding $5,236 to an existing Pittsburgh position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine position management.
- The 51¢ entry implies the Pirates are viewed as an attractive near-even-money opportunity despite current odds around 52%.
$5,236 on Pittsburgh Pirates | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 21304764, $14,815 (64% win rate)
- 0xa084...bb99 — Outcome 21304764, $14,650 (94% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 21304764, $10,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x04e6...3914 — Outcome 21304764, $6,469 (77% win rate)
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 21304764, $4,450 (94% win rate)
- 0x0d2d...7ff5 — Outcome 21304764, $4,449 (59% win rate)
- 0x519d...37a1 — Outcome 21304764, $1,750
- 0xbc31...971f — Outcome 21304764, $1,500 (64% win rate)
- 0xf7c4...5919 — Outcome 21304764, $1,433
- 0x2fbc...f944 — Outcome 21304764, $1,300 (77% win rate)
Related Theses
Low-scoring Valkyries keep it close
Covers 3 related markets
