Part of: Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - More Markets
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,825,289.
Categories: FA Community Shield, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Whale scaling into Over
A large bettor added $113K to an existing Over position during an extreme volume spike, though the wallet’s one resolved win offers limited track-record support.
- This bettor added $113,448 to an existing Over position, bringing total investment to roughly $3.6 million.
- The trade occurred during a 185x historical volume spike in a market that has risen 24.5% over one day.
- The wallet is 1-for-1 on resolved bets, so its track record is promising but not yet proven.
$113,448 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable new wallet scaling Under
A highly profitable repeat bettor with a perfect but small resolved-market record is adding $56,374 to an existing Under position amid a major volume spike.
- This 28-day-old wallet has won all 4 resolved bets and is up $250,514 overall.
- The bettor is adding $56,374 to an existing Under position at 47¢, signaling continued conviction.
- Market activity is running at 125 times its historical average, while Under remains near 46% odds.
$56,374 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%
Whale scaling into Over
A whale added roughly $1.02M to an existing Over position during an extreme pre-event volume spike, creating a notable directional signal despite limited track record.
- This bettor added $1.02M to Over across three trades near 52¢, despite already investing $2.92M in the outcome.
- The trades drove an extreme pre-event volume spike, with the market moving 3% higher to roughly 54%.
- The wallet is up $980K, but its 100% record comes from only one resolved bet, so the position size is more compelling than the track record.
$1,021,346 on Over | Wallet win rate: 100%
Four sharp bettors buying Over
Four highly profitable bettors, including three with 94%+ win rates, simultaneously bought Over at 51% amid an extreme volume spike.
- Four wallets committed $12,116 to Over, including three bettors with 94%–96% win rates across hundreds of resolved positions.
- The coordinated buying followed a reported 749.8x surge versus historical market activity, suggesting unusually strong conviction.
- One wallet was already holding $11,084 of Over and added at 51%, while the others opened sizable positions at the same price.
$541,494 on Over
Profitable trio loading Under
Three wallets concentrated $15.2K on Under, including two profitable high-volume bettors, amid an extreme volume spike in a thin market.
- Three wallets bought $15,211 of Under around 49¢, representing an unusually large share of recent market activity.
- The largest buyer is up $4.45M lifetime with a 64% win rate across 6,277 resolved bets.
- A second buyer is also profitable, while the position is being added near the market’s 48% Under price.
$15,211 on Under
Sharp bettor scaling into Over
A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial prior Over exposure added $77,414 at 51¢ in a thin, unusually active market.
- This bettor has won 90% of 61 resolved positions and is up $602,381 overall.
- They added $77,414 to an existing Over position at 51¢, showing increased conviction rather than routine trading.
- The bet was over 18 times the reported 24-hour volume, alongside a major volume spike in this relatively quiet market.
$77,414 on Over | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x224a...a3d5 — Outcome 11271315, $1,799,328 (65% win rate)
- 0x7f8e...4487 — Outcome 11271315, $496,158 (100% win rate)
- 0x6f0e...2ee5 — Outcome 11271315, $202,941 (100% win rate)
- 0x21a2...5f83 — Outcome 11271315, $200,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x1e77...8c33 — Outcome 11271315, $50,000 (81% win rate)
- 0x9f15...bdb3 — Outcome 11271315, $46,285 (75% win rate)
- 0xf958...db13 — Outcome 11271315, $36,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x336b...1233 — Outcome 11271315, $30,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x52d9...fb1a — Outcome 11271315, $15,594 (70% win rate)
- 0x1a66...ae5e — Outcome 11271315, $15,000 (67% win rate)
