Part of: Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - More Markets

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,822.

Categories: FA Community Shield, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor exits Under

A highly profitable sharp bettor sold a prior Under position, creating a potentially informative shift toward Over, though the trade may primarily reflect profit-taking.

  • This bettor has won 76% of 1,344 resolved positions and earned $203,231 lifetime.
  • The $1,071 exit from Under at 41¢ coincided with a 26-point daily price move and a 47.8× volume spike.
  • Because the wallet previously bought Under at 11¢, this may be profit-taking rather than a fresh Over conviction bet.

$1,071 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable serial bettor backs Over

A highly experienced profitable trader made a concentrated $12.9K Over bet during a major volume spike, despite the price later falling to 55%.

  • This bettor wins 67% of 627 resolved trades and is up $1.32 million lifetime.
  • They committed $12,888 to Over at 67¢ as market volume surged 47.8 times its usual level.
  • The price has since fallen to 55%, offering a potentially cheaper entry but also signaling meaningful market disagreement.

$12,888 on Over | Wallet win rate: 59%

Sharp wallets coordinate on Under

Four wallets committed $21.8K to Under amid a 61x volume spike, including two highly profitable bettors with 81% and 83% win rates, though other participants are historically unprofitable and hedged.

  • Two participating bettors win 81% and 83% of resolved bets, with one up $647K lifetime.
  • Four wallets put $21.8K on Under during a 61x volume spike, representing a substantial share of the market.
  • The signal is mixed: two large wallets are historically unprofitable and some traders already hold hedged Over positions.

$19,637 on Under

Sharp bettor scaling into Under

A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate is adding $5,231 to an existing Under position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 243 resolved trades and earned nearly $595,000.
  • They added $5,231 to an existing Under position, showing continued conviction rather than a one-off wager.
  • The market saw an 858x volume spike and has moved 18% in one day.

$5,231 on Under | Wallet win rate: 82%

Profitable serial bettor adds Under

A highly experienced bettor with an 84% win rate and $101,174 profit is adding nearly $3,000 to an existing Under position at 69 cents.

  • This bettor has won 84% of 560 resolved trades and is up $101,174 lifetime.
  • They added nearly $3,000 to an existing Under position at 69 cents, showing continued conviction.
  • The wallet has traded across 332 events and 333 markets, making this a proven—not isolated—track record.

$2,995 on Under | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

  1. 0x8762...0d85 Outcome 97134631, $2,261
  2. 0xed06...72e7 Outcome 97134631, $2,191
  3. 0xb00d...af5f Outcome 97134631, $2,000 (66% win rate)
  4. 0x4a55...a82a Outcome 97134631, $1,640 (75% win rate)
  5. 0x425b...18f1 Outcome 97134631, $1,562 (77% win rate)
  6. 0x69e3...761f Outcome 97134631, $1,300 (97% win rate)
  7. 0x674b...8284 Outcome 97134631, $1,021
  8. 0x2918...fe4a Outcome 97134631, $1,000 (82% win rate)
  9. 0x9f8a...01cd Outcome 97134631, $652 (50% win rate)
  10. 0x775d...6beb Outcome 97134631, $499 (76% win rate)

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Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5

ResolvedArsenal FC vs. Manchester City - More Markets$41,822 tracked5 signalsFA Community ShieldSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FA Community Shield game between Arsenal FC and Manchester City, scheduled for August 16 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Arsenal FC and Manchester City combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on thefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5

7d ago

$1,071 on Over at 59¢

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5

7d ago

$12,888 on Over at 67¢

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5

7d ago

$19,637 on Under at 61¢

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5

7d ago

$5,231 on Under at 52¢

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5

7d ago

$2,995 on Under at 69¢

Related Theses