Part of: Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - More Markets
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,822.
Categories: FA Community Shield, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor exits Under
A highly profitable sharp bettor sold a prior Under position, creating a potentially informative shift toward Over, though the trade may primarily reflect profit-taking.
- This bettor has won 76% of 1,344 resolved positions and earned $203,231 lifetime.
- The $1,071 exit from Under at 41¢ coincided with a 26-point daily price move and a 47.8× volume spike.
- Because the wallet previously bought Under at 11¢, this may be profit-taking rather than a fresh Over conviction bet.
$1,071 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial bettor backs Over
A highly experienced profitable trader made a concentrated $12.9K Over bet during a major volume spike, despite the price later falling to 55%.
- This bettor wins 67% of 627 resolved trades and is up $1.32 million lifetime.
- They committed $12,888 to Over at 67¢ as market volume surged 47.8 times its usual level.
- The price has since fallen to 55%, offering a potentially cheaper entry but also signaling meaningful market disagreement.
$12,888 on Over | Wallet win rate: 59%
Sharp wallets coordinate on Under
Four wallets committed $21.8K to Under amid a 61x volume spike, including two highly profitable bettors with 81% and 83% win rates, though other participants are historically unprofitable and hedged.
- Two participating bettors win 81% and 83% of resolved bets, with one up $647K lifetime.
- Four wallets put $21.8K on Under during a 61x volume spike, representing a substantial share of the market.
- The signal is mixed: two large wallets are historically unprofitable and some traders already hold hedged Over positions.
$19,637 on Under
Sharp bettor scaling into Under
A highly profitable bettor with an 84% win rate is adding $5,231 to an existing Under position amid an extreme volume spike.
- This bettor has won 84% of 243 resolved trades and earned nearly $595,000.
- They added $5,231 to an existing Under position, showing continued conviction rather than a one-off wager.
- The market saw an 858x volume spike and has moved 18% in one day.
$5,231 on Under | Wallet win rate: 82%
Profitable serial bettor adds Under
A highly experienced bettor with an 84% win rate and $101,174 profit is adding nearly $3,000 to an existing Under position at 69 cents.
- This bettor has won 84% of 560 resolved trades and is up $101,174 lifetime.
- They added nearly $3,000 to an existing Under position at 69 cents, showing continued conviction.
- The wallet has traded across 332 events and 333 markets, making this a proven—not isolated—track record.
$2,995 on Under | Wallet win rate: 83%
Top Holders
- 0x8762...0d85 — Outcome 97134631, $2,261
- 0xed06...72e7 — Outcome 97134631, $2,191
- 0xb00d...af5f — Outcome 97134631, $2,000 (66% win rate)
- 0x4a55...a82a — Outcome 97134631, $1,640 (75% win rate)
- 0x425b...18f1 — Outcome 97134631, $1,562 (77% win rate)
- 0x69e3...761f — Outcome 97134631, $1,300 (97% win rate)
- 0x674b...8284 — Outcome 97134631, $1,021
- 0x2918...fe4a — Outcome 97134631, $1,000 (82% win rate)
- 0x9f8a...01cd — Outcome 97134631, $652 (50% win rate)
- 0x775d...6beb — Outcome 97134631, $499 (76% win rate)
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