Part of: Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - More Markets
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 4.5
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,978.
Categories: FA Community Shield, Sports, Games, Soccer
Notable Trades
Proven bettor backs the Under
A highly proven bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial positive edge made a sizable Under wager, though the market has since moved sharply against it.
- This bettor has won 79% of 1,095 resolved trades and earned $489,125 in P&L.
- The $1,400 Under position was entered at 73¢, signaling strong conviction in fewer than five total goals.
- The market now prices Under at 48%, so the trade has moved sharply against the bettor and warrants caution when copying.
$1,400 on Under | Wallet win rate: 79%
Sharp bettors scaling into Under
Four wallets bought Under amid a 158x volume spike, including two highly profitable bettors with strong historical win rates.
- Four wallets committed $9,122 to Under during a 158x surge over the historical trading baseline.
- Two participants have exceptional records: 84% and 79% win rates with combined profits exceeding $1 million.
- The cluster entered around 59¢ while Under has since risen to roughly 76%, signaling strong directional momentum.
$9,122 on Under
Large Over bet amid volume surge
A large Over bet triggered an extreme pre-event volume spike and helped drive a 24.5% daily price increase, though the wallet's broad track record is not especially sharp.
- A $1,456 Over position at 32¢ arrived during an extreme 228,000x historical volume spike.
- The Over price has risen 24.5% in one day, suggesting the trade was part of meaningful incoming demand.
- This wallet has generated $8.1M in lifetime profit across 84,776 resolved bets, though its 56% win rate is not clearly above its average entry odds.
$1,456 on Over | Wallet win rate: 56%
Top Holders
- 0x9f41...8f27 — Outcome 35901353, $6,836 (82% win rate)
- 0x86d2...731d — Outcome 35901353, $3,996 (95% win rate)
- 0xb00d...af5f — Outcome 35901353, $1,000 (66% win rate)
- 0xc820...49de — Outcome 35901353, $520 (77% win rate)
- 0x5d63...9075 — Outcome 35901353, $375 (63% win rate)
- 0x9028...8608 — Outcome 35901353, $367
- 0x3654...1b78 — Outcome 35901353, $305
- 0x92f5...52a2 — Outcome 35901353, $272
- 0xea2f...4aac — Outcome 35901353, $233
- 0x775d...6beb — Outcome 35901353, $224 (76% win rate)
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