Part of: Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City - More Markets

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 4.5

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,978.

Categories: FA Community Shield, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Proven bettor backs the Under

A highly proven bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial positive edge made a sizable Under wager, though the market has since moved sharply against it.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 1,095 resolved trades and earned $489,125 in P&L.
  • The $1,400 Under position was entered at 73¢, signaling strong conviction in fewer than five total goals.
  • The market now prices Under at 48%, so the trade has moved sharply against the bettor and warrants caution when copying.

$1,400 on Under | Wallet win rate: 79%

Sharp bettors scaling into Under

Four wallets bought Under amid a 158x volume spike, including two highly profitable bettors with strong historical win rates.

  • Four wallets committed $9,122 to Under during a 158x surge over the historical trading baseline.
  • Two participants have exceptional records: 84% and 79% win rates with combined profits exceeding $1 million.
  • The cluster entered around 59¢ while Under has since risen to roughly 76%, signaling strong directional momentum.

$9,122 on Under

Large Over bet amid volume surge

A large Over bet triggered an extreme pre-event volume spike and helped drive a 24.5% daily price increase, though the wallet's broad track record is not especially sharp.

  • A $1,456 Over position at 32¢ arrived during an extreme 228,000x historical volume spike.
  • The Over price has risen 24.5% in one day, suggesting the trade was part of meaningful incoming demand.
  • This wallet has generated $8.1M in lifetime profit across 84,776 resolved bets, though its 56% win rate is not clearly above its average entry odds.

$1,456 on Over | Wallet win rate: 56%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9f41...8f27 Outcome 35901353, $6,836 (82% win rate)
  2. 0x86d2...731d Outcome 35901353, $3,996 (95% win rate)
  3. 0xb00d...af5f Outcome 35901353, $1,000 (66% win rate)
  4. 0xc820...49de Outcome 35901353, $520 (77% win rate)
  5. 0x5d63...9075 Outcome 35901353, $375 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x9028...8608 Outcome 35901353, $367
  7. 0x3654...1b78 Outcome 35901353, $305
  8. 0x92f5...52a2 Outcome 35901353, $272
  9. 0xea2f...4aac Outcome 35901353, $233
  10. 0x775d...6beb Outcome 35901353, $224 (76% win rate)

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Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 4.5

ResolvedArsenal FC vs. Manchester City - More Markets$11,978 tracked3 signalsFA Community ShieldSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FA Community Shield game between Arsenal FC and Manchester City, scheduled for August 16 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Arsenal FC and Manchester City combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on thefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Under
102¢
92¢
83¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 4.5

7d ago

$1,400 on Under at 73¢

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 4.5

7d ago

$9,122 on Under at 59¢

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 4.5

7d ago

$1,456 on Over at 32¢

Related Theses