Part of: Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC - More Markets

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $32,042.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, Premier League, EPL

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying Under

Three wallets piled into Under for $16.6k as the price jumped 21 points, led by an 84% win-rate serial cross-market bettor with activity across 69 events.

  • Three wallets bought Under for $16.6k and pushed the price up 21 points.
  • One of the wallets wins 84% of its resolved bets across 351 markets, and another has traded 121 markets across 69 events with an 84% win rate.
  • They got in at 50-67¢, which suggests they saw Under as clearly mispriced before it ran to 100¢.

$16,637 on Under

84% win-rate sports grinder

A high-volume serial cross-market sports trader with an 84% hit rate bought Under 3.5 at 58¢, and the market has already moved in their favor to 64¢.

  • This bettor has won 868 of 1,033 resolved bets and has traded across 120 markets in 68 events
  • They bought Under at 58¢ and the market is now 64¢, so the price moved their way right after entry
  • The bet was sizable at $11.3k on a sports market with $25.6k liquidity, showing real conviction

$11,334 on Under | Wallet win rate: 85%

8-wallet funded cluster

A repeat new wallet from an 8-wallet funded cluster just put $4.1k into Under on a thin soccer totals market, suggesting coordinated conviction worth watching.

  • Eight wallets funded by the same address have been flagged together, which points to coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet.
  • This new wallet has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts and has put over $50k to work across flagged trades.
  • The $4.1k buy is bigger than the market’s full 24-hour volume of $3.4k, so this trader is taking a meaningful stand in a quiet market.

$4,071 on Under | Wallet win rate: 43%

Top Holders

  1. 0x74d0...de45 Outcome 62682283, $9,994 (72% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 62682283, $4,923 (55% win rate)
  3. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 62682283, $3,422 (67% win rate)
  4. 0xc274...6d59 Outcome 62682283, $1,663
  5. 0x5634...d81a Outcome 62682283, $199 (79% win rate)
  6. 0xb229...8e56 Outcome 62682283, $197
  7. 0x6814...a9e7 Outcome 62682283, $182 (56% win rate)
  8. 0x95c0...f0c5 Outcome 62682283, $99
  9. 0xfdc6...788a Outcome 62682283, $41
  10. 0xcfcc...3601 Outcome 62682283, $34

Related Theses

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Covers 1 related market

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

ResolvedArsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC - More Markets$32,042 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesSoccerPremier LeagueEPL

In the upcoming Premier League game between Arsenal FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for April 25 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Arsenal FC and Newcastle United FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

45d ago

$16,637 on Under at 58¢

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

45d ago

$11,334 on Under at 58¢

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5

45d ago

$4,071 on Under at 67¢

Related Theses