What is the Astana prediction market for Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuoka?

It is a Polymarket tennis market on the Astana match between Aziz Dougaz and Hayato Matsuoka. The winning outcome is the player who advances in the match.

When is the Dougaz vs Matsuoka match scheduled?

The match is scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

When does this tennis prediction market resolve?

The market is scheduled to resolve by August 23, 2026, subject to the match’s result and the exchange’s stated resolution rules.

What smart-money activity has been reported for this market?

PolySpotter tracks $3,739 in smart-money activity and one signal. Recent alerts include bettors backing both Aziz Dougaz and Hayato Matsuoka.

Where can I see the current Dougaz vs Matsuoka odds?

Check the live Polymarket market page for the latest prices and implied probabilities, which can change as traders update their positions.

Part of: Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuoka

Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuoka

This Astana tennis prediction market covers the August 16, 2026 match between Aziz Dougaz and Hayato Matsuoka. It resolves to the player who advances, with the market scheduled to resolve by August 23, 2026; PolySpotter currently tracks $3,739 in smart-money activity across one signal.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $30,692.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Proven bettor scaling into Dougaz

A proven tennis bettor with an 84% win rate and $105,498 profit is adding $9,164 to Aziz Dougaz despite the price moving down.

This bettor wins 84% of 557 resolved trades and is up $105,498 lifetime.
They have traded across 329 events and are adding another $9,164 to their existing Dougaz position.
The 50¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value while the market currently prices Dougaz near 46%.

$3,739 on Aziz Dougaz | Wallet win rate: 83%

91% win-rate bettor scaling Hayato

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 91% win rate and substantial edge added $5,440 to Hayato Matsuoka while scaling an existing position.

This bettor wins 91% of 150 resolved positions and is up $181,197 lifetime.
They added $5,440 to Hayato Matsuoka at 45¢ and already had $12,088 invested in the same outcome.
The position has moved to roughly 48%, but remains below the suggested 55¢ copying ceiling.

$5,440 on Hayato Matsuoka | Wallet win rate: 90%

Proven bettor scaling into Dougaz

A proven tennis bettor with an 84% win rate and $105,498 profit is adding $9,164 to Aziz Dougaz despite the price moving down.

This bettor wins 84% of 557 resolved trades and is up $105,498 lifetime.
They have traded across 329 events and are adding another $9,164 to their existing Dougaz position.
The 50¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value while the market currently prices Dougaz near 46%.

$9,164 on Aziz Dougaz | Wallet win rate: 83%

Elite sharp backs Aziz Dougaz

A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $8,000 purchase of Aziz Dougaz at 41%.

This bettor has won 92% of 226 resolved trades and is up $7.34 million.
The $8,000 position is a fresh, concentrated bet on Aziz Dougaz at 41¢.
Their results imply a major edge: they typically win despite entering at an average 47¢ price.

$8,000 on Aziz Dougaz | Wallet win rate: 91%

99% win-rate serial bettor backs Hayato

A highly experienced serial trader with a 99% win rate and substantial demonstrated edge is making a fresh $3,000 bet on Hayato Matsuoka at 60%.

This bettor has won 1,866 of 1,885 resolved positions, with $17.2M in reported profit.
The wallet has a 43-point edge over its average entry odds across 1,885 trades.
A fresh $3,000 position backs Hayato Matsuoka at 60%, despite the market currently making him the 60% favorite.

$3,000 on Hayato Matsuoka | Wallet win rate: 99%

Sharp bettor scaling into Matsuoka

A highly experienced tennis bettor with a 78% win rate and substantial historical edge is adding to an existing Hayato Matsuoka position at 60%.

This bettor has won 78% of 586 resolved trades and is up $150,282.
They are adding $1,350 to an existing Matsuoka position at 60%, signaling continued conviction.
The wallet has traded across 119 markets and 116 events, making this more than a one-off bet.

$1,350 on Hayato Matsuoka | Wallet win rate: 46%

Top Holders

0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 53868792, $55,750 (64% win rate)
0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 53868792, $19,433 (91% win rate)
0x5455...8b2a — Outcome 53868792, $5,000 (75% win rate)
0x5b57...de6b — Outcome 53868792, $2,753 (72% win rate)
0x0a26...1851 — Outcome 53868792, $2,512 (79% win rate)
0x568d...9a05 — Outcome 53868792, $2,307 (65% win rate)
0x3f98...0aa1 — Outcome 53868792, $2,245 (80% win rate)
0xb7ab...a2d1 — Outcome 53868792, $2,081 (100% win rate)
0x57b2...9da2 — Outcome 53868792, $2,000 (91% win rate)
0x1c70...caf0 — Outcome 53868792, $1,333 (99% win rate)

Related Theses

Iraq Norway goal fest

Covers 4 related markets

Belgium dominates Iran early

Covers 4 related markets

Czechia wins big early

Covers 3 related markets

Canada Qatar first-half shootout

Covers 5 related markets

Germany wins high-scoring rout

Covers 4 related markets

France Northern Ireland goals galore

Covers 3 related markets

Norway advances in goalfest

Covers 3 related markets

USA Australia goalfest starts early

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Ann Li beats Alexandrova

Covers 1 related market

Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuoka

ResolvedAstana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuoka$30,692 tracked6 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Aziz Dougaz and Hayato Matsuoka in the Astana, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aziz Dougaz' if Aziz Dougaz advances against Hayato Matsuoka. This market will resolve to 'Hayato Matsuoka' if Hayato Matsuoka advances against Aziz Dougaz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Hayato Matsuoka”

62¢

57¢

52¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction