Part of: Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardt
Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardt
This prediction market covers the Asuncion 2 tennis match between Thiago Seyboth Wild and Nick Hardt, scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 24, 2026 if delays occur. PolySpotter is tracking $13,459 in smart money across 2 signals, including sharp underdog interest and profitable tennis flow.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,997.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable tennis flow hit
One-sided Nick Hardt flow included a highly profitable bettor and coincided with a 14x volume spike and a move to 100%, though it is likely no longer copyable at current odds.
- Three wallets put $10k behind Nick Hardt, including a bettor up $15.9M lifetime.
- The market saw a 14x volume spike and has since moved to 100% Hardt.
- The cluster’s effective entry was around 52¢, suggesting they caught a major mispricing.
$10,052 on Nick Hardt
Serial sports bettor chasing steam
High composite from a serial sports bettor plus a major pre-match volume spike and price move toward Nick Hardt, though the wallet’s lifetime P&L is negative.
- This bettor has 976 resolved trades and wins 68% of them, showing deep sports-market activity.
- Nick Hardt saw a 25-point price jump alongside a 24.5x volume spike before the match.
- The wallet bought Hardt at 84¢, implying confidence despite the market now sitting closer to 78¢.
$3,407 on Nick Hardt | Wallet win rate: 68%
Profitable serial bettor
A massively active, profitable serial bettor bought Nick Hardt at 37¢ before the market moved to 50¢ amid a 40x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up about $4.0M across more than 46,000 resolved markets.
- They bought $7.4K at 37¢ before Nick Hardt moved to 50¢.
- Market volume spiked about 40x, suggesting fresh pre-match momentum.
$7,400 on Nick Hardt | Wallet win rate: 55%
Elite sharps on underdog
Multiple highly profitable wallets, including 96%, 80%, and 100% historical winners, bought Thiago Seyboth Wild together, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
- Several proven bettors are aligned here, including wallets with 96%, 80%, and 100% resolved win records.
- Five wallets bought $23k of the same side, with one bettor up $1.5M lifetime adding the largest trade.
- The price has fallen to 16¢ after their buys, making this a high-risk but much cheaper follow than their entries.
$23,137 on Thiago Seyboth Wild
Top Holders
- 0x9ac2...be3d — Outcome 11515717, $81,606 (80% win rate)
- 0x5f65...2036 — Outcome 11515717, $33,293 (96% win rate)
- 0xb148...9355 — Outcome 11515717, $7,924 (100% win rate)
- 0x5c50...e0c9 — Outcome 11515717, $5,727 (28% win rate)
- 0xfcf1...99d3 — Outcome 11515717, $3,398 (72% win rate)
- 0x782d...8211 — Outcome 11515717, $3,315 (59% win rate)
- 0xe167...03a1 — Outcome 11515717, $3,106 (63% win rate)
- 0x0c99...0c88 — Outcome 11515717, $3,018 (50% win rate)
- 0x489d...f6e3 — Outcome 11515717, $2,385 (53% win rate)
- 0xf12f...b30f — Outcome 11515717, $2,190 (98% win rate)
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