Part of: Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox

Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

This MLB prediction market covers the Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox game on August 8, 2026, at 4:10 PM ET. It resolves to Over if both teams score at least 10 combined runs and Under if they score fewer than 10; smart money activity includes a 93% win-rate bettor adding to Over and a large Under bet amid rising volume.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 8 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Athletics and Boston Red Sox combine to score 10 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 10, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $53,969.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Large Under bet amid volume surge

A large $18,000 Under bet coincided with a 147x historical volume spike, creating a meaningful event-driven signal despite the trader's only moderate edge.

  • An $18,000 Under position helped drive a 147x spike versus typical market activity.
  • The bettor has resolved 35,935 positions and is up $34.7 million, though their 63% win rate is only modestly above their average winning price.
  • Under was purchased at 56¢, implying the trader assigns roughly a 56% chance to fewer than 10 total runs.

$17,969 on Under | Wallet win rate: 63%

93% win-rate bettor adds to Over

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $24,750 to an existing Over position at 45 cents.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 407 resolved trades and is up nearly $3.0 million.
  • They added $24,750 to an existing Over position, bringing their total investment to about $79,750.
  • The Over was bought at 45 cents, below the market's implied 56% chance for Under.

$11,250 on Over | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% win-rate bettor adds to Over

A highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate is adding $24,750 to an existing Over position at 45 cents.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 407 resolved trades and is up nearly $3.0 million.
  • They added $24,750 to an existing Over position, bringing their total investment to about $79,750.
  • The Over was bought at 45 cents, below the market's implied 56% chance for Under.

$24,750 on Over | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0x16bb...8492 Over, $80,000 (93% win rate)
  2. 0x3dfb...abaf Under, $80,000 (51% win rate)
  3. 0x5e94...5ba1 Over, $52,100 (47% win rate)
  4. 0x4bff...fc26 Under, $50,000 (47% win rate)
  5. 0xfe78...0319 Under, $32,102 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x032e...2a9e Over, $25,205 (70% win rate)
  7. 0x6f3e...bcf8 Over, $22,222 (49% win rate)
  8. 0x5268...135d Under, $12,153 (54% win rate)
  9. 0x78b0...9f1a Over, $5,682 (94% win rate)
  10. 0xe0db...f44e Under, $5,600 (51% win rate)

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Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

ResolvedAthletics vs. Boston Red Sox$53,969 tracked3 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Over
44¢
Under
56¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Athletics and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 8 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Athletics and Boston Red Sox combine to score 10 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 10, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

ATH
45-71
BOS
64-51
ATH +230BOS -250O/U 9Polymarket: 44¢
Price History — “Under
73¢
62¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

10h ago

$17,969 on Under at 56¢

56¢56¢

Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

12h ago

$11,250 on Over at 45¢

45¢44¢1¢

Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5

13h ago

$24,750 on Over at 45¢

45¢44¢1¢

Related Theses