Part of: Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Serna

Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Serna

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $25,927.

Notable Trades

Four-wallet Hassan conviction cluster

Four wallets concentrated $7.4K on Benjamin Hassan, including a proven 77% bettor with substantial historical edge and corroborating serial cross-market activity.

Four wallets committed $7,406 to Benjamin Hassan around 52–53%, and the market has since moved to 55%.
One bettor wins 77% of 329 resolved positions, averaging 47% entry prices and reporting $776,735 in profit.
A serial cross-market trader with 530 events and $2.3M traded is also aligned with the Hassan position.

$7,921 on Benjamin Hassan

Sharp serial bettor backs Hassan

A highly experienced bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,390 wager on Benjamin Hassan despite the position currently trading lower.

This bettor has won 77% of 329 resolved trades and is up $776,735 lifetime.
They made a fresh $1,390 bet on Benjamin Hassan at 52%, implying strong conviction despite the market now pricing him at 42%.
The wallet has traded across 529 events for $2.3 million, making this more credible than an isolated wager.

$1,390 on Benjamin Hassan | Wallet win rate: 77%

85% win-rate bettor adds to Hassan

A highly profitable serial trader with an 85% win rate and $1.8M lifetime P&L is adding to a substantial Benjamin Hassan position despite the market pricing him near 52%.

This bettor has won 85% of 395 resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
The wallet is adding to an existing $25,000 Benjamin Hassan position, showing continued conviction.
The $4,046 buy at 55¢ backs Hassan above the market's current 52% price.

$4,046 on Benjamin Hassan | Wallet win rate: 84%

90% winner backs La Serna

A highly profitable serial bettor with a 90% win rate and $8.0M lifetime P&L made a fresh $9,682 bet on Juan Manuel La Serna at an average 48% price.

This bettor wins 90% of 284 resolved trades and is up $8.0M lifetime.
They placed $9,682 on Juan Manuel La Serna at an average 48¢, while the market is now 44¢.
The wallet has traded across 819 events, suggesting a well-established and repeatable edge.

$9,682 on Juan Manuel La Serna | Wallet win rate: 38%

Elite tennis bettor buys La Serna

A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and 284 resolved positions is taking a fresh $2,888 position on Juan Manuel La Serna.

This bettor wins 90% of trades across 284 resolved positions and is up $8.0M.
The wallet has traded across 818 events and 862 markets, showing a long-running, repeatable edge.
A fresh $2,888 buy backs Juan Manuel La Serna at 45¢ despite the market pricing him near 44%.

$2,888 on Juan Manuel La Serna | Wallet win rate: 38%

Top Holders

0xf377...4159 — Outcome 11495690, $25,000 (84% win rate)
0xf3a1...bf4b — Outcome 11495690, $13,891 (96% win rate)
0x8718...5040 — Outcome 11495690, $12,512 (83% win rate)
0x1029...c621 — Outcome 11495690, $6,556
0x54ba...04e4 — Outcome 11495690, $2,931 (77% win rate)
0xd123...d341 — Outcome 11495690, $2,894 (76% win rate)
0xe98c...8792 — Outcome 11495690, $2,241 (97% win rate)
0xf94f...9ada — Outcome 11495690, $2,162 (73% win rate)
0x4a55...a82a — Outcome 11495690, $1,403 (69% win rate)
0xc144...c809 — Outcome 11495690, $1,296 (73% win rate)

Related Theses

Canada Qatar first-half shootout

Covers 5 related markets

Germany wins high-scoring rout

Covers 4 related markets

France Northern Ireland goals galore

Covers 3 related markets

USA Australia goalfest starts early

Covers 3 related markets

Chelsea-Brighton first-half goal fest

Covers 3 related markets

Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Serna

ResolvedAugsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Serna$25,927 tracked5 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Hassan and Juan Manuel La Serna in the Augsburg, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Hassan' if Benjamin Hassan advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Benjamin Hassan. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Juan Manuel La Serna”

102¢

72¢

42¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction