Part of: Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tauson
Bad Homburg Open: Karolina Muchova vs Clara Tauson
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $139,545.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
79% winner backing favorite
Sharp serial sports trader with a 79% win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Muchova before the price moved from 87% to 90%.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades across 1,158 bets and is up $45,547 lifetime.
- They have traded 49 related events, suggesting a repeatable sports-market process rather than a one-off bet.
- Bought Muchova at 87¢ before the market moved to 90¢, with a volume spike supporting the move.
$2,000 on Karolina Muchova | Wallet win rate: 81%
Proven tennis sharp backing favorite
Sharp tennis bettor with a 78% long-run record and positive P&L bought Muchova despite already-heavy favorite odds, with supporting pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades across 509 bets and is up $17K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market sports trader, active across 36 events with $75K staked.
- Bought Muchova at 88¢ before the market moved to 90¢, showing early confirmation.
$2,000 on Karolina Muchova | Wallet win rate: 79%
90% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and +$171k lifetime P&L bought $4k of Muchova despite this being a liquid market.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $171k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 161 events with over $1.1M in detected volume.
- The $4k buy backs Muchova at 76¢, below the current 78¢ market price.
$4,000 on Karolina Muchova | Wallet win rate: 88%
89% winner backing underdog
Sharp sports bettor with an 89% resolved win rate and strong profits is buying Clara Tauson at 31% despite the market pricing Muchova as favorite.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $125K lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market sports trader, active across 67 events with the same 89% hit rate.
- Buying Clara Tauson at 31¢ implies they see value in the underdog against a 68% favorite.
$2,000 on Clara Tauson | Wallet win rate: 89%
97% winner backing Muchova
Elite 97% lifetime winner with $3.1M profit bought $15k of Muchova amid one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and upward price movement.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.1M lifetime.
- They put $15,000 on Muchova at 50¢, and the price has already moved to 52¢.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $26,072 as volume spiked 392x above normal.
$40,000 on Karolina Muchova | Wallet win rate: 90%
Million-profit serial trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Clara Tauson, with one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the move.
- This bettor has won 63% of 2,048 resolved bets and is up $1.31M lifetime.
- Three wallets are all buying Clara Tauson, totaling $10.7K in the same direction.
- Market volume spiked 252x before the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-event interest.
$1,176 on Clara Tauson | Wallet win rate: 65%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial sports trader with a 70% record and $41k profit bought $6.9k of Muchova amid a large pre-event volume spike, though the market has moved against the entry.
- This bettor has won 70% of 97 resolved bets and is up $41,352 lifetime.
- They have traded across 139 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off punt.
- They bought $6,900 of Muchova at 68¢, and the market is now lower at 60¢, offering a cheaper follow price.
$6,900 on Karolina Muchova | Wallet win rate: 71%
Profitable serial trader joins cluster
High composite alert from a profitable high-volume tennis trader joining coordinated Clara Tauson buying amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 65% of 861 resolved bets and is up $12.8K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought Clara Tauson in the same window, totaling $10.7K on one side.
- Market volume spiked 252x above its historical average before the match.
$1,410 on Clara Tauson | Wallet win rate: 66%
Million-profit serial trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Clara Tauson, with one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the move.
- This bettor has won 63% of 2,048 resolved bets and is up $1.31M lifetime.
- Three wallets are all buying Clara Tauson, totaling $10.7K in the same direction.
- Market volume spiked 252x before the match, suggesting unusually strong pre-event interest.
$1,118 on Clara Tauson | Wallet win rate: 65%
97% winner backing Muchova
Elite 97% lifetime winner with $3.1M profit bought $15k of Muchova amid one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and upward price movement.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades and is up $3.1M lifetime.
- They put $15,000 on Muchova at 50¢, and the price has already moved to 52¢.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $26,072 as volume spiked 392x above normal.
$15,000 on Karolina Muchova | Wallet win rate: 90%
Top Holders
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 35552584, $20,976 (94% win rate)
- 0xe3dc...eaa8 — Outcome 35552584, $19,052 (89% win rate)
- 0x5537...6993 — Outcome 35552584, $14,000
- 0x58b3...653c — Outcome 35552584, $12,500 (45% win rate)
- 0x8f76...aea6 — Outcome 35552584, $5,238 (79% win rate)
- 0x00c8...b05e — Outcome 35552584, $2,700 (17% win rate)
- 0xe98c...8792 — Outcome 35552584, $2,145 (97% win rate)
- 0xafac...8730 — Outcome 35552584, $2,092 (78% win rate)
- 0x40f7...1f5e — Outcome 35552584, $1,500 (64% win rate)
- 0xdbdd...a5de — Outcome 35552584, $1,283 (60% win rate)
Related Theses
Belgium won't beat Egypt
Covers 3 related markets
Saudi Uruguay stays low scoring
Covers 3 related markets
Germany dominates Curaçao shutout
Covers 6 related markets
Iraq Norway goal fest
Covers 4 related markets
Belgium dominates Iran early
Covers 4 related markets
