Part of: Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolina

Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolina

This market refers to the tennis match between Liudmila Samsonova and Elina Svitolina in the Bad Homburg Open, originally scheduled for June 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Elina Svitolina. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Liudmila Samsonova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

11 smart money signals detected, totaling $76,663.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable sports whales align

Three profitable, high-volume sports bettors are aligned on Samsonova, including a whale up $16.4M lifetime, though the market has moved against their entries so far.

Three wallets are all taking Samsonova, including one bettor up $16.4M lifetime across 16,661 resolved trades.
The cluster put $10.6K on the same side, mostly around 35–44¢ equivalent entry prices.
The price is now around 32¢, giving a cheaper entry than the cluster’s roughly 38¢ average.

$10,567 on Liudmila Samsonova

Linked Svitolina buying cluster

Coordinated Svitolina buying from six wallets, including linked accounts, coincided with a major volume spike and a sharp price move from the trader's 58¢ entry to 68¢.

Six wallets bought the same side for $31k, with three wallets sharing a funder.
The market saw an 88x volume spike and Svitolina’s price jumped sharply.
This bettor entered at 58¢ before the market moved to 68¢.

$1,880 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 71%

Six-wallet tennis steam

Strong coordinated flow: six wallets bought Samsonova for $14.8k alongside a 48x volume spike and sharp price move, with the flagged wallet historically profitable at scale.

Six wallets bought the same side for $14.8k, and two appear linked by funding.
The market has seen a 48x volume spike and Samsonova’s price jumped 18 percentage points.
This bettor is up $1.4M across more than 15,000 resolved trades.

$2,277 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 55%

Linked cluster backing Svitolina

High-conviction coordinated flow: 6 wallets, including linked accounts, bought Svitolina amid an 88x volume spike and a sharp price move.

Six wallets are all backing Svitolina, with $31K on the same side and 3 wallets sharing a funder.
The market saw an 88x volume spike before the match, suggesting unusual pre-event positioning.
This trade effectively bought Svitolina at 50¢ before she moved to 68¢.

$2,554 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 56%

Sharp cluster fading favorite

A $6.5k Svitolina-side cluster includes profitable/serial sports traders, but confidence is tempered by stronger opposing Samsonova flow and recent Samsonova momentum.

Three wallets took the Svitolina side for $6.5k, including sells of Samsonova that convert to Svitolina exposure.
One wallet on this side wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $37.7k lifetime.
This is a contrarian entry: Samsonova has moved up sharply, while Svitolina is still available around 40¢.

$6,493 on Elina Svitolina

Six-wallet tennis steam

Strong coordinated flow: six wallets bought Samsonova for $14.8k alongside a 48x volume spike and sharp price move, with the flagged wallet historically profitable at scale.

Six wallets bought the same side for $14.8k, and two appear linked by funding.
The market has seen a 48x volume spike and Samsonova’s price jumped 18 percentage points.
This bettor is up $1.4M across more than 15,000 resolved trades.

$2,936 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 55%

$16M winner backs underdog

Surface as a mixed but notable underdog signal because a highly profitable serial sports trader bought Samsonova and the copy price is now below their 36¢ entry, despite opposing Svitolina flow.

A bettor up $16.4M lifetime bought $3.3k of Samsonova at 36¢.
Three wallets took the same Samsonova side for $8.6k total, including sells of Svitolina that convert to Samsonova exposure.
The signal is mixed because a larger linked group is also buying Svitolina, but Samsonova is now available cheaper than the sharp buyer’s entry.

$8,631 on Liudmila Samsonova

94% winner led surge

High-conviction Svitolina move led by a 94% winning, $6.9M-profitable wallet plus linked one-sided flow before the price jumped to 98%.

A bettor who wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $6.9M effectively bought Svitolina around 49¢.
Five wallets put $21.6K on the same Svitolina side, including two linked wallets sharing a funder.
The market has already moved to 98¢, so the original edge was much lower around the mid-50¢ average entry.

$21,629 on Elina Svitolina

Profitable tennis whale fades favorite

A high-volume tennis bettor with nearly $943k lifetime profit is taking a contrarian Samsonova position during a major pre-event volume spike.

This bettor is up about $943k lifetime across more than $74M traded.
They put about $5k behind Samsonova through a direct buy and an equivalent sell of Svitolina.
The market saw a 415x pre-event volume spike, suggesting this match is drawing unusually sharp attention.

$4,995 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 56%

94% winner backs underdog

Surface despite the weak detector because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and $6.9M lifetime profit buying the underdog.

This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M lifetime.
They put $7.5k on the 32–33¢ underdog, implying they see meaningful upside.
The wallet has been flagged 36 times before, suggesting this is a repeat high-conviction bettor.

$7,500 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 93%