Part of: Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolina
Bad Homburg Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Elina Svitolina
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $76,663.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable sports whales align
Three profitable, high-volume sports bettors are aligned on Samsonova, including a whale up $16.4M lifetime, though the market has moved against their entries so far.
- Three wallets are all taking Samsonova, including one bettor up $16.4M lifetime across 16,661 resolved trades.
- The cluster put $10.6K on the same side, mostly around 35–44¢ equivalent entry prices.
- The price is now around 32¢, giving a cheaper entry than the cluster’s roughly 38¢ average.
$10,567 on Liudmila Samsonova
Linked Svitolina buying cluster
Coordinated Svitolina buying from six wallets, including linked accounts, coincided with a major volume spike and a sharp price move from the trader's 58¢ entry to 68¢.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $31k, with three wallets sharing a funder.
- The market saw an 88x volume spike and Svitolina’s price jumped sharply.
- This bettor entered at 58¢ before the market moved to 68¢.
$1,880 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 71%
Linked cluster backing Svitolina
High-conviction coordinated flow: 6 wallets, including linked accounts, bought Svitolina amid an 88x volume spike and a sharp price move.
- Six wallets are all backing Svitolina, with $31K on the same side and 3 wallets sharing a funder.
- The market saw an 88x volume spike before the match, suggesting unusual pre-event positioning.
- This trade effectively bought Svitolina at 50¢ before she moved to 68¢.
$2,554 on Elina Svitolina | Wallet win rate: 54%
Six-wallet tennis steam
Strong coordinated flow: six wallets bought Samsonova for $14.8k alongside a 48x volume spike and sharp price move, with the flagged wallet historically profitable at scale.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $14.8k, and two appear linked by funding.
- The market has seen a 48x volume spike and Samsonova’s price jumped 18 percentage points.
- This bettor is up $1.4M across more than 15,000 resolved trades.
$2,277 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp cluster fading favorite
A $6.5k Svitolina-side cluster includes profitable/serial sports traders, but confidence is tempered by stronger opposing Samsonova flow and recent Samsonova momentum.
- Three wallets took the Svitolina side for $6.5k, including sells of Samsonova that convert to Svitolina exposure.
- One wallet on this side wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $37.7k lifetime.
- This is a contrarian entry: Samsonova has moved up sharply, while Svitolina is still available around 40¢.
$6,493 on Elina Svitolina
Six-wallet tennis steam
Strong coordinated flow: six wallets bought Samsonova for $14.8k alongside a 48x volume spike and sharp price move, with the flagged wallet historically profitable at scale.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $14.8k, and two appear linked by funding.
- The market has seen a 48x volume spike and Samsonova’s price jumped 18 percentage points.
- This bettor is up $1.4M across more than 15,000 resolved trades.
$2,936 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 53%
$16M winner backs underdog
Surface as a mixed but notable underdog signal because a highly profitable serial sports trader bought Samsonova and the copy price is now below their 36¢ entry, despite opposing Svitolina flow.
- A bettor up $16.4M lifetime bought $3.3k of Samsonova at 36¢.
- Three wallets took the same Samsonova side for $8.6k total, including sells of Svitolina that convert to Samsonova exposure.
- The signal is mixed because a larger linked group is also buying Svitolina, but Samsonova is now available cheaper than the sharp buyer’s entry.
$8,631 on Liudmila Samsonova
94% winner led surge
High-conviction Svitolina move led by a 94% winning, $6.9M-profitable wallet plus linked one-sided flow before the price jumped to 98%.
- A bettor who wins 94% of resolved bets and is up $6.9M effectively bought Svitolina around 49¢.
- Five wallets put $21.6K on the same Svitolina side, including two linked wallets sharing a funder.
- The market has already moved to 98¢, so the original edge was much lower around the mid-50¢ average entry.
$21,629 on Elina Svitolina
Profitable tennis whale fades favorite
A high-volume tennis bettor with nearly $943k lifetime profit is taking a contrarian Samsonova position during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up about $943k lifetime across more than $74M traded.
- They put about $5k behind Samsonova through a direct buy and an equivalent sell of Svitolina.
- The market saw a 415x pre-event volume spike, suggesting this match is drawing unusually sharp attention.
$4,995 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 54%
94% winner backs underdog
Surface despite the weak detector because this is a proven sharp wallet with a 94% resolved win rate and $6.9M lifetime profit buying the underdog.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $6.9M lifetime.
- They put $7.5k on the 32–33¢ underdog, implying they see meaningful upside.
- The wallet has been flagged 36 times before, suggesting this is a repeat high-conviction bettor.
$7,500 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x927c...6633 — Outcome 69584810, $12,578 (90% win rate)
- 0xe3dc...eaa8 — Outcome 69584810, $7,652 (88% win rate)
- 0xe1c0...ecf1 — Outcome 69584810, $5,000 (75% win rate)
- 0x0288...4199 — Outcome 69584810, $4,420
- 0x08cc...67ba — Outcome 69584810, $3,840
- 0x21b7...c861 — Outcome 69584810, $3,500 (39% win rate)
- 0x58b3...653c — Outcome 69584810, $3,000 (49% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 69584810, $3,000 (64% win rate)
- 0x6ca4...348f — Outcome 69584810, $2,612 (78% win rate)
- 0xe394...289c — Outcome 69584810, $2,000 (85% win rate)
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