Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for July 20 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $141,554.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Five-wallet Boston buying cluster

A five-wallet Boston cluster, 31.7x volume surge, and 20-point price move provide a meaningful directional signal despite this wallet's mixed existing positions.

  • Five wallets bought Boston for a combined $43,125, creating a strong one-sided signal.
  • Trading volume reached 31.7 times its historical average, while Boston moved from 36¢ to 42¢.
  • This wallet bought Boston at 36¢, but its existing positions on both teams make its individual conviction less clear.

$2,669 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 55%

Five-wallet Boston buying cluster

A five-wallet Boston cluster, 31.7x volume surge, and 20-point price move provide a meaningful directional signal despite this wallet's mixed existing positions.

  • Five wallets bought Boston for a combined $43,125, creating a strong one-sided signal.
  • Trading volume reached 31.7 times its historical average, while Boston moved from 36¢ to 42¢.
  • This wallet bought Boston at 36¢, but its existing positions on both teams make its individual conviction less clear.

$11,977 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 55%

Five-wallet Boston buying cluster

A five-wallet Boston cluster, 31.7x volume surge, and 20-point price move provide a meaningful directional signal despite this wallet's mixed existing positions.

  • Five wallets bought Boston for a combined $43,125, creating a strong one-sided signal.
  • Trading volume reached 31.7 times its historical average, while Boston moved from 36¢ to 42¢.
  • This wallet bought Boston at 36¢, but its existing positions on both teams make its individual conviction less clear.

$1,334 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 55%

Five-wallet Boston buying cluster

A five-wallet Boston cluster, 31.7x volume surge, and 20-point price move provide a meaningful directional signal despite this wallet's mixed existing positions.

  • Five wallets bought Boston for a combined $43,125, creating a strong one-sided signal.
  • Trading volume reached 31.7 times its historical average, while Boston moved from 36¢ to 42¢.
  • This wallet bought Boston at 36¢, but its existing positions on both teams make its individual conviction less clear.

$7,446 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 55%

Four-wallet Orioles buying cluster

Four wallets coordinated on Baltimore amid a 22.7x volume spike, though the tracked bettor lacks a clear edge and the price has since fallen below the entry.

  • Four wallets bought Baltimore for a combined $13,379, signaling concentrated one-sided conviction.
  • Trading volume reached 22.7 times its historical average, while Orioles odds moved sharply during the activity.
  • The tracked bettor has a large 6,043-bet history but only a 57% win rate, and this position entered at 63¢ versus current odds near 58¢.

$1,600 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 58%

Orioles momentum cluster

Three-wallet Orioles buying coincided with a 31.7x volume surge and a 26-point price increase, though substantial opposing Boston flow and existing positions reduce conviction.

  • Three wallets bought $12,913 of Baltimore, including a $7,446 purchase, as the price moved up 26 percentage points.
  • Trading volume reached 31.7 times its historical average, indicating unusually strong activity ahead of the game.
  • This is not a clean consensus signal: another detection recorded $43,125 betting on Boston, and some Orioles buyers already held positions.

$40,182 on Baltimore Orioles

Five-wallet Boston buying cluster

A five-wallet Boston cluster, 31.7x volume surge, and 20-point price move provide a meaningful directional signal despite this wallet's mixed existing positions.

  • Five wallets bought Boston for a combined $43,125, creating a strong one-sided signal.
  • Trading volume reached 31.7 times its historical average, while Boston moved from 36¢ to 42¢.
  • This wallet bought Boston at 36¢, but its existing positions on both teams make its individual conviction less clear.

$4,811 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 55%

Elite serial sports bettor backs Boston

A highly proven sports bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial positive edge made a fresh $1,233 bet on Boston amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 90% of 511 resolved positions and is up $2.7 million lifetime.
  • The fresh $1,233 Boston position comes from a trader active across 120 events with a reported 32% edge over implied odds.
  • Market volume is running 30.3 times its normal 24-hour average, supporting the significance of the entry.

$1,233 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 92%

New whale scaling into Boston

A five-day-old wallet repeatedly added to Boston at meaningful size amid a 30x volume spike, though it lacks a proven track record and the position has moved against it.

  • A five-day-old wallet has now flagged four large bets, including a $60,000 addition to its existing Boston position.
  • The market saw a 30.3x volume spike, and this trader has committed at least $160,000 to Boston at roughly 60¢.
  • The position is currently underwater at about 54¢, and the wallet has only a 1–1 record on resolved bets.

$60,000 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 50%

Sharp bettors cluster on Boston

A four-wallet Boston cluster includes a highly proven serial trader with a 90% win rate and substantial positive edge, while multiple wallets are adding to existing positions.

  • A serial cross-market bettor has won 90% of 511 resolved positions and is up $2.7 million.
  • Four wallets put nearly $5,000 on Boston, including another bettor with an 82% win rate and $59,717 profit.
  • Three wallets are adding to existing Boston positions, signaling continued conviction despite the price sitting near 50%.

$10,301 on Boston Red Sox

Top Holders

  1. 0xf031...c80c — Baltimore Orioles, $264,549 (89% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 — Baltimore Orioles, $26,067 (64% win rate)
  3. 0xa3c2...df3d — Baltimore Orioles, $1,609
  4. 0x39fc...e2f2 — Baltimore Orioles, $1,595 (60% win rate)
  5. 0xcba5...cd88 — Baltimore Orioles, $1,463 (82% win rate)
  6. 0x5811...0976 — Baltimore Orioles, $1,306 (45% win rate)
  7. 0x7381...5b63 — Baltimore Orioles, $1,200
  8. 0xe7b3...1492 — Baltimore Orioles, $1,000
  9. 0xd58d...c2d6 — Baltimore Orioles, $610
  10. 0xad54...006a — Baltimore Orioles, $589

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$141,554 tracked10 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Baltimore Orioles
0¢
Boston Red Sox
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for July 20 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BAL
5
49-52
Final
BOS
6
51-48
BAL +139BOS -168O/U 9Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Fenway Park, Boston
Attendance
37,659

Notable Trades

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

2026-07-21 01:50 UTC

$2,669 on Boston Red Sox at 36¢

36¢→100¢↑64¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

2026-07-21 01:33 UTC

$11,977 on Boston Red Sox at 36¢

36¢→100¢↑64¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

2026-07-21 01:22 UTC

$1,334 on Boston Red Sox at 36¢

36¢→100¢↑64¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

2026-07-21 01:16 UTC

$7,446 on Boston Red Sox at 36¢

36¢→100¢↑64¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

2026-07-21 01:19 UTC

$1,600 on Baltimore Orioles at 63¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

2026-07-21 01:39 UTC

$40,182 on Baltimore Orioles at 59¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

2026-07-21 01:07 UTC

$4,811 on Boston Red Sox at 36¢

36¢→100¢↑64¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

2026-07-20 23:23 UTC

$1,233 on Boston Red Sox at 54¢

54¢→100¢↑46¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

2026-07-20 23:23 UTC

$60,000 on Boston Red Sox at 60¢

60¢→100¢↑40¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

2026-07-21 01:16 UTC

$10,301 on Boston Red Sox at 52¢

52¢→100¢↑48¢

Related Theses