Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $29,980.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

New whale moving odds

A 1-day-old repeat large bettor put $14k on Baltimore at 84¢, helping drive a major breakout to 92¢ despite limited resolved history.

A brand-new wallet has already placed $64.6k in flagged bets across 9 positions.
This $14k buy came at 84¢ and Baltimore has since moved to 92¢.
The market broke 39 percentage points above its prior range, suggesting strong momentum behind the bet.

$14,000 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 87%

90% winner buying underdog

Sharp sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and $255k lifetime profit bought Baltimore at 34¢, now trading around 42¢.

This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $255k lifetime.
They have traded 112 related sports events with the same 90% hit rate.
Entry at 34¢ on Baltimore implies they saw a much bigger chance than the market priced.

$1,700 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable wallets buying Boston

Three wallets bought $9.0K of Boston in the same MLB market, including profitable high-volume bettors, alongside a fast move from 44% to 56%.

Two of the Boston buyers are up a combined $3.2M lifetime on Polymarket.
Three wallets put $9.0K on Boston in the same short window.
Boston jumped from 44¢ to 56¢ within minutes, matching the direction of the buy flow.

$9,011 on Boston Red Sox

Profitable new sports whale

A 9-day-old repeat large bettor with early profitability is buying Boston at 56¢, suggesting a potentially sharp new sports wallet despite limited history.

This wallet is only 9 days old but is already up about $12k across early positions.
It has been flagged 12 times for large bets, totaling $45k in notable activity.
The bettor is backing Boston at 56¢ in a liquid MLB market, suggesting fresh conviction rather than a thin-market push.

$2,800 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 96%

Elite MLB sharp buying Boston

Surfacing because this is an exceptionally strong sharp-wallet signal: 200 wins in 201 resolved positions with +$232,951 lifetime P&L, now buying Boston at 56¢.

This bettor has won 200 of 201 resolved positions and is up $232,951 lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader across 162 events with about $303,640 in tracked volume.
Entry at 56¢ suggests they see Boston as meaningfully underpriced despite a tight, liquid market.

$2,468 on Boston Red Sox | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

0xc660...bd28 — Outcome 35008639, $22,300 (72% win rate)
0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 35008639, $17,598
0xd48a...6e90 — Outcome 35008639, $13,062 (68% win rate)
0x021c...232f — Outcome 35008639, $10,800 (99% win rate)
0x7a88...41cc — Outcome 35008639, $6,463 (63% win rate)
0x4a9e...1997 — Outcome 35008639, $5,000 (96% win rate)
0x09af...9728 — Outcome 35008639, $4,407 (99% win rate)
0x4379...2e16 — Outcome 35008639, $3,000 (64% win rate)
0x2714...960f — Outcome 35008639, $1,000
0xe0e8...ec60 — Outcome 35008639, $850 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

ResolvedBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$29,980 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 2 at 6:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Boston Red Sox" if the Boston Red Sox win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BAL

49-53

Final

BOS

52-48

BAL +144BOS -175O/U 9.5

Venue

Fenway Park, Boston

Attendance

35,039