Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $19,767.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Under despite the market already pricing it as likely, with a strong long-run record and price-impact signal.

  • This bettor has won 62% of 5,870 resolved trades and is up $842K lifetime.
  • They are a major cross-market sports trader, active across 287 events with $1.6M in flagged volume.
  • They bought Under at 89¢, implying high conviction that the game stays below 11 runs.

$1,668 on Under | Wallet win rate: 61%

Profitable serial bettor

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 68% win rate and $208.5K lifetime profit is buying Over 10.5 at 55¢.

  • This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up $208.5K lifetime.
  • They have traded 193 events with $1.56M in total volume, suggesting a seasoned sports-market edge.
  • Buying Over at 55¢ implies they see meaningful value despite the total already moving up 8.5 points today.

$1,650 on Over | Wallet win rate: 72%

Sharp MLB totals cluster

High-conviction Over cluster led by a 90% win-rate bettor with strong lifetime profit, plus one-sided flow and a major pre-game volume spike.

  • A bettor who wins 90% of resolved trades is leading this Over bet and is up $264k lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $8.1k of Over, pushing the market from 50¢ to 55¢.
  • Pre-game volume is running 54x normal, suggesting concentrated demand on the same side.

$8,149 on Over

Profitable last-minute sports sharp

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 79% resolved win rate placed a last-minute $3.3k Under bet just 1.4 minutes before resolution, supported by a notable volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up about $3.1M lifetime.
  • They bought Under for $3.3k just 1.4 minutes before resolution, suggesting a live-game timing edge.
  • Market volume spiked 54x, and the current 46¢ price is cheaper than their 51¢ entry.

$3,299 on Under | Wallet win rate: 84%

90% win-rate sports sharp

Elite MLB bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Over 10.5 at even odds.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $264K lifetime.
  • They have a deep sports record across 192 events and $688K in cross-market activity.
  • A $5K buy at 50¢ implies they see the Over as better than a coin flip.

$5,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 91%

Top Holders

  1. 0x6157...9fb4 Outcome 12039701, $10,000 (91% win rate)
  2. 0x5268...135d Outcome 12039701, $8,225 (53% win rate)
  3. 0x6498...8910 Outcome 12039701, $3,076 (72% win rate)
  4. 0xee84...becb Outcome 12039701, $1,480
  5. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 37708024, $1,239 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x95fa...bf35 Outcome 12039701, $500
  7. 0xb085...7b10 Outcome 12039701, $490 (63% win rate)
  8. 0xd1e6...1dc1 Outcome 12039701, $387 (100% win rate)
  9. 0x1ba7...67a1 Outcome 12039701, $286
  10. 0x161a...4103 Outcome 12039701, $236 (94% win rate)

Related Theses

Knicks Cavaliers stay under

Covers 4 related markets

Canadiens win high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Rockies Athletics stay low scoring

Covers 4 related markets

Giants win low-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Spurs Leeds goalfest incoming

Covers 1 related market

Red Sox Royals go over

Covers 1 related market

Manchester City will win

Covers 1 related market

Braves Reds game goes over

Covers 1 related market

Chicago Sky upset Lynx

Covers 1 related market

Rays beat the Angels

Covers 1 related market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5

ResolvedBaltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$19,767 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox, scheduled for June 4 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox combine to score 11 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BAL
8
30-33
Final
BOS
2
26-35
BAL +104BOS -125O/U 10.5
Venue
Fenway Park, Boston
Attendance
33,180

Notable Trades

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5

8d ago

$1,668 on Under at 89¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5

8d ago

$1,650 on Over at 55¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5

8d ago

$8,149 on Over at 52¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5

8d ago

$3,299 on Under at 51¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5

8d ago

$5,000 on Over at 50¢

Related Theses