Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $103,676.
Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball
Notable Trades
Perfect-record bettor cluster
A perfect-record sports bettor with broad cross-market activity bought Baltimore as part of a 4-wallet one-sided cluster before a notable price move, making this a strong trade worth watching despite the market's deep liquidity.
- This bettor is 26 for 26 on resolved trades and up $36k, which makes their sports bets worth following
- Four wallets piled into Baltimore for $14.6k total, showing coordinated conviction rather than a one-off bet
- They bought at 48¢ and Baltimore now trades at 38¢, offering a cheaper entry than the original sharp money
$1,861 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp bettor joins Orioles surge
A proven sharp sports trader with an 88% win rate and $4.2M profit bought nearly $59k of Baltimore as part of a 3-wallet, $178k one-sided push during a major pregame volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of their trades and is up $4.2M lifetime across 32 resolved bets.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $178k total, pointing to strong shared conviction on Baltimore.
- They entered at 42¢, while Baltimore now sits around 40-41¢, keeping the copy price close to the original thesis.
$58,948 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 87%
3-wallet momentum cluster
Three wallets piled into Cleveland during an 11x pregame volume spike and a 23-point price jump, creating a notable momentum signal even though the wallet quality is mixed.
- Three wallets bought Cleveland within minutes as the market surged 23 points from 60-64¢ up to 76¢
- This hit during an 11.3x volume spike, with nearly $7.0k clustered on one side
- One wallet is a high-volume winner up more than $1.0M lifetime, though the other two have weak records
$6,961 on Cleveland Guardians
3-wallet funded cluster
Three linked wallets with a large cross-market betting history piled $12.8k into Orioles in seconds, creating a coordinated directional signal despite this being a liquid MLB market.
- Three wallets funded by the same source bought $12.8k of Orioles within seconds, showing coordinated conviction.
- This cluster has bet across 313 markets and nearly $1.9M total, with the best wallet up over $1.0M lifetime.
- They bought mostly at 44-46¢ while the market is now 38¢, so this is a follow-worthy thesis but at a better price than they got.
$12,755 on Baltimore Orioles
81% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable high-volume sports bettor with an 81% win rate is buying Cleveland during an extreme pregame volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $271k across 1,225 bets
- They have traded 702 markets across 363 events, so this looks like a seasoned repeat operator rather than a random whale
- Bought Cleveland at 59¢ during a 528x volume spike, suggesting they agree with sharp pregame money
$1,021 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 80%
88% win-rate sports bettor
A proven sharp sports trader with an 88% win rate and $4.2M profit made a nearly $20k fresh bet on the Orioles during a major pregame volume spike.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $4.2M lifetime across $10.8M invested
- They trade heavily across 109 markets and 100 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- Bought Baltimore at 43¢ with nearly $20k as market activity jumped 102x versus normal
$19,656 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable new wallet betting big
A day-old wallet with early profits and a perfect 4-0 record just made another sizable sports bet, suggesting fresh but potentially sharp conviction worth tracking.
- This wallet is less than 1 day old, already up nearly $4,000, and has won all 4 resolved bets so far
- They just put $2.5k on Cleveland, a meaningful size even after already building 4 positions
- They bought at 57¢ while the market is now 52¢, offering a slightly better copy entry than the original trade
$2,476 on Cleveland Guardians | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 57743240, $69,923 (71% win rate)
- 0x5741...fb99 — Outcome 57743240, $16,621 (72% win rate)
- 0x16bb...8492 — Outcome 57743240, $4,746 (91% win rate)
- 0xd106...c79c — Outcome 57743240, $3,286 (53% win rate)
- 0xb3cf...0ebd — Outcome 57743240, $1,730 (80% win rate)
- 0x09af...9728 — Outcome 57743240, $1,164 (99% win rate)
- 0x519d...37a1 — Outcome 57743240, $1,000
- 0xfad6...c31b — Outcome 57743240, $970
- 0xf429...969e — Outcome 57743240, $823 (71% win rate)
- 0x8afa...28f0 — Outcome 57743240, $559
Related Theses
Spurs or Thunder, not Knicks
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Cavaliers won't win East
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