Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $543,342.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying collapse

Three wallets piled into the Orioles after a huge collapse from roughly 40-47% to 8%, including two large bettors with strong long-term records, making this coordinated contrarian flow worth watching despite one weak wallet in the cluster.

  • Two profitable high-volume bettors joined the same Orioles side after the price crashed to 19-21¢ and then 8¢.
  • One wallet wins 74% of 279 resolved bets, and another has made about $951k profit across 239 resolved markets.
  • This was coordinated flow from 3 wallets with nearly $9k total as market volume spiked 76x versus normal.

$8,962 on Baltimore Orioles

15-wallet linked sports cluster

A 15-wallet linked cluster piled nearly $500k into Cleveland at 54-60¢, including one elite 91% win-rate wallet, and the market has since surged to 84¢ on heavy volume.

  • 15 wallets backed Cleveland with nearly $500k, and 6 of them share a funder.
  • One of the biggest buyers wins 91% of resolved bets and is up about $961k lifetime.
  • They bought mostly at 54-55¢, and the market has already moved to 84¢ after a 252x volume spike.

$497,274 on Cleveland Guardians

Sharp 9-wallet Orioles cluster

A highly profitable sports bettor with a 77% win rate joined a 9-wallet, $79.7k one-sided push into Baltimore during a major pregame volume spike, making this coordinated sharp action worth tracking despite the price moving against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 77% of their trades and is up $3.6M lifetime across 84 resolved markets.
  • Nine wallets piled into Baltimore for $79.7k as volume ran 252x above normal before the game.
  • This wallet paid 47¢ for Baltimore, a much more aggressive entry than the current 20¢ market.

$26,675 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 76%

Perfect-record sports bettor

A serial cross-market trader with a perfect 13-for-13 resolved record and over $100k profit is buying the Orioles at 47¢, making this a sharp-bettor signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor has won 13 of 13 resolved trades and is up about $100k
  • They have bet across 30 different events for more than $500k total, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off punt
  • Bought Baltimore at 47¢, a price that only needs the Orioles to win a little more than half the time to pay off

$1,575 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 96%

Perfect-record sports bettor

A bettor with a perfect 13-for-13 resolved record and broad cross-market activity made an outsized Orioles buy that dwarfed the market’s recent trading, making this a strong copy-trade signal.

  • This bettor is 13 for 13 on resolved trades and up about $100k on $204k invested
  • They have traded across 28 events for nearly $486k total, which suggests a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
  • The $8.9k Orioles buy was over 12x the market’s recent baseline volume, showing real conviction at 47¢

$8,857 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 14027521, $465,302 (95% win rate)
  2. 0xd38a...8d26 Outcome 14027521, $56,755 (76% win rate)
  3. 0x18bb...e5cd Outcome 14027521, $28,437 (63% win rate)
  4. 0x38f0...2768 Outcome 14027521, $24,079 (96% win rate)
  5. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 14027521, $11,308 (65% win rate)
  6. 0x8cb3...8ed1 Outcome 14027521, $9,978 (68% win rate)
  7. 0x9703...69c2 Outcome 14027521, $9,458
  8. 0xc49f...9e05 Outcome 14027521, $7,000 (96% win rate)
  9. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 14027521, $5,000 (51% win rate)
  10. 0x3625...1187 Outcome 14027521, $4,188 (98% win rate)

Related Theses

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians

3d$543,342 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for April 16 at 6:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians

3d ago

$8,962 on Baltimore Orioles at 25¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians

3d ago

$497,274 on Cleveland Guardians at 55¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians

3d ago

$26,675 on Baltimore Orioles at 47¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians

4d ago

$1,575 on Baltimore Orioles at 47¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians

4d ago

$8,857 on Baltimore Orioles at 47¢

Related Theses