Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros

Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 18 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $98,211.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Linked four-wallet Orioles cluster

Four wallets, including two linked funders, bought $45.5K of Baltimore amid a 75x volume spike, though the lead wallet is adding to an existing position rather than demonstrating a sharp historical win rate.

  • Four wallets bought Baltimore for $45,503, with two wallets linked by a common funder.
  • The market saw a 75.4x historical volume spike and Baltimore has moved up 5% over the past day.
  • The lead bettor has a large profitable history, but only wins 53% of 22,822 resolved bets and is adding to an existing Orioles position.

$15,303 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 53%

Linked wallets backing Baltimore

Three linked wallets deployed $22.3K on Baltimore, alongside a 110x volume spike and a profitable 61%-win-rate bettor, making this coordinated sports-market positioning worth following despite some existing exposure.

  • Three wallets, including two linked by a funder, committed $22,251 to Baltimore.
  • The move coincided with a 110x historical volume spike and an 8-point daily price rise.
  • One bettor wins 61% across 10,452 resolved bets and is up $1.36M lifetime, though some of the buying adds to existing positions.

$22,251 on Baltimore Orioles

Profitable cluster backs Houston

Five wallets added $45,072 to Houston at roughly 50%, including multiple highly profitable bettors and a 44x volume spike.

  • Five wallets committed $45,072 to Houston, creating a strong one-sided signal near even odds.
  • Two bettors have won 100% of 45 resolved positions, while another is 85% across 72 bets.
  • The activity drove a 44x historical volume spike, and all five wallets are adding to existing Houston positions.

$37,154 on Houston Astros

96% winner adds to Astros position

A highly profitable bettor with a 96% win rate and $1.75M P&L is adding to an already substantial Houston Astros position at even odds.

  • This bettor has won 75 of 78 resolved trades and is up $1.75M lifetime.
  • The $23,502 buy adds to an existing $136,816 Astros position, signaling continued conviction at 50¢.
  • Trading activity spiked to 121.8 times the recent average around this market.

$23,502 on Houston Astros | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3dfb...abaf Baltimore Orioles, $199,999 (47% win rate)
  2. 0xfe78...0319 Baltimore Orioles, $152,098 (63% win rate)
  3. 0xcd30...f316 Houston Astros, $136,874 (95% win rate)
  4. 0x2c33...0563 Houston Astros, $73,427 (58% win rate)
  5. 0x2dc1...b33c Houston Astros, $60,000 (74% win rate)
  6. 0x84cf...2f63 Houston Astros, $39,506 (46% win rate)
  7. 0x5268...135d Baltimore Orioles, $36,416 (53% win rate)
  8. 0xf152...64aa Houston Astros, $36,000 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x2005...75ea Baltimore Orioles, $26,194 (55% win rate)
  10. 0xd48a...6e90 Houston Astros, $17,689 (68% win rate)

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros

6dBaltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros$98,211 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Baltimore Orioles
50¢
Houston Astros
51¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Houston Astros, scheduled for July 18 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Houston Astros" if the Houston Astros win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BAL
4
48-51
Final
HOU
2
47-53
BAL -110HOU -110O/U 9Polymarket: 50¢
Venue
Daikin Park, Houston
Attendance
31,649
Price History — “Houston Astros
61¢
46¢
30¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros

20h ago

$15,303 on Baltimore Orioles at 61¢

61¢50¢11¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros

21h ago

$22,251 on Baltimore Orioles at 59¢

59¢50¢9¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros

20h ago

$37,154 on Houston Astros at 50¢

50¢51¢1¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros

22h ago

$23,502 on Houston Astros at 50¢

50¢51¢1¢

Related Theses