Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,036.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Coordinated Mets buying amid volume spike

A sharp price move and volume spike accompany coordinated Mets positioning, though the broader market flow is conflicting and the wallets are not uniformly strong.

Five wallets put $14,649 behind the Mets, including a profitable bettor with 26,255 resolved trades and $2.0M lifetime profit.
Trading activity was over 100 times the historical average, while the Orioles fell roughly 16 percentage points as Mets odds rose toward 80%.
The signal is mixed: another detected group of eight wallets bought $28,588 of Orioles, and several Mets bettors already held positions.

$13,246 on New York Mets

Eight-wallet Orioles buying cluster

Eight wallets collectively bought Baltimore despite a sharp price decline, creating a notable contrarian sports-betting signal, though this individual bettor has only a modest historical win rate.

Eight wallets bought Baltimore Orioles for a combined $28,588, signaling concentrated disagreement with the market’s current 20% price.
Trading volume was over 100 times its historical average, while Baltimore’s price fell 16.5% in a day.
This bettor has a large 46,094-trade history and is up $3.9M, but the 55% win rate does not independently establish a strong edge.

$6,253 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 55%

Six-wallet Orioles conviction cluster

Six wallets placed $15.6K of coordinated Orioles buys amid a major volume and price surge, including a highly profitable bettor with an 88% win rate over 314 resolved positions.

Six wallets committed $15,645 to Baltimore, while the market saw an 89.6x volume spike and a 43.7-point price move.
One bettor has won 88% of 314 resolved positions at an average 56¢ entry, showing a meaningful long-term edge.
The Orioles are currently available near 58¢ after the coordinated buying, though several wallets entered substantially higher.

$6,520 on Baltimore Orioles

94% win-rate sharp backs Orioles

A highly proven bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge made a fresh $2,002 Orioles position at 45 cents.

This bettor has won 94% of 2,953 resolved positions and is up $1.46 million.
The wallet buys Baltimore at 45¢ despite the market pricing the Orioles as 44% likely.
A serial trader across 617 events is making a fresh $2,002 directional bet.

$2,003 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 94%

Elite bettor buys Baltimore at 45¢

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial historical edge is buying Baltimore at 45 cents.

This bettor has won 94% of 2,953 resolved positions and is up $1.46 million.
Their results imply a 34-percentage-point edge over the average odds paid, making the Baltimore purchase unusually credible.
Baltimore was bought at 45¢ while the market currently prices it near 44%, with a tight 1¢ spread.

$3,014 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 32463743, $34,139 (50% win rate)
0x17c4...2471 — Outcome 32463743, $17,857 (91% win rate)
0xc506...e987 — Outcome 32463743, $17,857 (82% win rate)
0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 32463743, $9,740 (58% win rate)
0x3e04...564d — Outcome 32463743, $5,000 (84% win rate)
0x554d...eb95 — Outcome 32463743, $3,579 (97% win rate)
0x2d6a...8add — Outcome 32463743, $1,500 (59% win rate)
0xcf73...0215 — Outcome 32463743, $1,500 (58% win rate)
0xa24e...1be8 — Outcome 32463743, $1,259 (71% win rate)
0xae53...5940 — Outcome 32463743, $1,114 (89% win rate)

Related Theses

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets

14hBaltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets$31,036 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets, scheduled for September 15 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BAL

74-78

Final

NYM

69-82

BAL +113NYM -136O/U 8

Venue

Citi Field, Queens

Attendance

28,097

Price History — “Baltimore Orioles”

98¢