Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

This prediction market covers the MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays scheduled for May 20 at 1:10 PM ET. Traders are pricing which team will win, with PolySpotter tracking $8,381 in smart money activity and recent alerts including Orioles momentum clusters and a Rays buyer. The market is set to resolve after the game is completed, with a listed resolution date of May 27, 2026.

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for May 20 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

20 smart money signals detected, totaling $198,015.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Coordinated Orioles momentum

Coordinated one-sided Orioles flow plus a 15x volume spike and sharp price momentum make this worth watching despite this wallet mostly closing a Rays position.

  • Three wallets bought the Orioles side in the same window for about $15.5K total.
  • Market volume is running 15x above normal, and the Orioles price is up 34 points today.
  • This trade converts to buying Orioles at 78¢, while the market is already near 80¢.

$1,430 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 69%

Million-dollar sharp on Orioles

A highly profitable bettor with an 88% resolved win record bought Baltimore at 36¢ before the market moved to 50¢, alongside a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up about $1.07M lifetime.
  • They bought Baltimore at 36¢ before the market moved to 50¢, showing strong early value capture.
  • Market volume spiked 73x versus normal, suggesting broader pre-game momentum behind the move.

$6,951 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable new wallet in Rays cluster

New profitable wallet with repeated large bets joined a 5-wallet one-sided push on Tampa Bay amid a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This new bettor is already up $8.4K and has won all 5 resolved bets so far.
  • Five wallets are all buying Tampa Bay, totaling $34.2K in the same direction.
  • Market volume is surging 31x above normal before the game, supporting the move.

$1,675 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 100%

91% winner backs Rays

Sharp 91% winner with strong profit bought Tampa Bay alongside one-sided flow from five wallets and a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $16.1k lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the Rays in the same window, totaling $34.2k on one side.
  • Entry at 65¢ comes as market volume is running 31x above normal before the game.

$3,562 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable serial bettor cluster

Profitable serial sports bettor put $26.5k on Tampa Bay alongside 5-wallet one-sided flow and a 31x pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 60% of resolved trades and is up about $62.9k lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $34.2k on Tampa Bay.
  • The market saw a 31x volume spike before the game, with this wallet entering around 65¢.

$26,510 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 60%

Five-wallet Rays steam

High composite alert with a 5-wallet one-sided Rays cluster, major pre-game volume spike, and a serial cross-market sports bettor whose entry has already moved strongly in their favor.

  • Five wallets bought the Rays in the same direction, totaling $34K of coordinated flow.
  • This bettor has won 69% of 209 resolved bets and has traded across 26 events.
  • The entry was 54¢ and the market has already moved to 66¢, suggesting the cluster caught real momentum.

$1,231 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Orioles despite the market moving sharply against that side afterward.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 2,291 resolved trades and is up about $11.0M lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $3.0M flagged across 245 events.
  • The entry was 47¢, but Orioles are now around 34¢, so the market has moved sharply against the bet.

$1,909 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable funded Orioles cluster

High-conviction Orioles buy from a profitable serial sports trader, backed by linked-wallet clustering and one-sided flow.

  • This bettor has won 64% of 80 resolved bets and is up $456K lifetime.
  • Five wallets are buying Baltimore together, with 15 linked wallets sharing the same funder.
  • They entered at 53¢ while the market has pulled back to 46¢, offering a better price than the original buy.

$2,941 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial sports trader joined one-sided Orioles flow during a pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor is up about $11.0M lifetime across more than 2,200 resolved bets.
  • Five wallets are all buying Baltimore, totaling $11.6K on the same side.
  • Market activity is running 23.7x above normal before the game.

$1,053 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable sports whale with cluster

Profitable high-volume sports trader bought Rays amid a 4-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $5.5M lifetime across more than $52M wagered.
  • Four wallets bought the Rays in the same window, totaling about $69K on one side.
  • They entered at 51¢ and the market has already moved to 56¢, suggesting the flow is moving price.

$13,432 on Tampa Bay Rays | Wallet win rate: 57%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4bff...fc26 Tampa Bay Rays, $251,890 (70% win rate)
  2. 0x1136...0c2e Baltimore Orioles, $100,000 (50% win rate)
  3. 0x9495...9a27 Baltimore Orioles, $84,629 (64% win rate)
  4. 0xabb8...bba3 Baltimore Orioles, $70,612 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x5234...4c4f Baltimore Orioles, $60,774 (64% win rate)
  6. 0x3dfb...abaf Baltimore Orioles, $60,000 (63% win rate)
  7. 0xb45a...192c Tampa Bay Rays, $54,636 (45% win rate)
  8. 0xfe78...0319 Baltimore Orioles, $53,811 (72% win rate)
  9. 0x4f29...7a7e Baltimore Orioles, $46,239 (54% win rate)
  10. 0x2dc1...b33c Tampa Bay Rays, $41,096 (60% win rate)

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

6dBaltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays$198,015 tracked20 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball
Baltimore Orioles
0¢
Tampa Bay Rays
100¢

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Tampa Bay Rays, scheduled for May 20 at 1:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BAL
3
21-29
Final
TB
5
33-15
BAL -103TB -117O/U 8.5Polymarket: 0¢
Venue
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Attendance
11,846
Price History — “Tampa Bay Rays
102¢
74¢
47¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

1h ago

$1,430 on Baltimore Orioles at 78¢

78¢0¢78¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

2h ago

$6,951 on Baltimore Orioles at 36¢

36¢0¢36¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

2h ago

$1,675 on Tampa Bay Rays at 67¢

67¢100¢33¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

2h ago

$3,562 on Tampa Bay Rays at 65¢

65¢100¢35¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

2h ago

$26,510 on Tampa Bay Rays at 65¢

65¢100¢35¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

2h ago

$1,231 on Tampa Bay Rays at 54¢

54¢100¢46¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

2h ago

$1,909 on Baltimore Orioles at 47¢

47¢0¢47¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

2h ago

$2,941 on Baltimore Orioles at 53¢

53¢0¢53¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

2h ago

$1,053 on Baltimore Orioles at 47¢

47¢0¢47¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3h ago

$13,432 on Tampa Bay Rays at 51¢

51¢100¢49¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3h ago

$1,423 on Baltimore Orioles at 49¢

49¢0¢49¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3h ago

$23,937 on Tampa Bay Rays at 52¢

52¢100¢48¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3h ago

$46,664 on Tampa Bay Rays at 52¢

52¢100¢48¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3h ago

$2,600 on Tampa Bay Rays at 52¢

52¢100¢48¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

3h ago

$1,081 on Tampa Bay Rays at 53¢

53¢100¢47¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

1h ago

$18,063 on Tampa Bay Rays at 25¢

25¢100¢75¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

4h ago

$4,000 on Tampa Bay Rays at 53¢

53¢100¢47¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

4h ago

$11,000 on Tampa Bay Rays at 53¢

53¢100¢47¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

1h ago

$17,994 on Baltimore Orioles at 63¢

63¢0¢63¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

2h ago

$10,560 on Baltimore Orioles at 38¢

38¢0¢38¢

Related Theses