Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $73,878.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Profitable bettor exits dog

A highly profitable high-volume bettor fully exited Toronto as the price collapsed, aligning with a sharp one-way move toward Baltimore.

  • This wallet is up about $448K lifetime across $8.6M traded, despite only winning 54% of resolved bets.
  • They fully closed a prior Toronto position as Toronto fell 34 points, suggesting they no longer want exposure there.
  • The equivalent copy is Baltimore at 86¢, a late momentum trade after a sharp price break.

$1,298 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 53%

New repeat sports whale

A 13-day-old wallet with repeated large-bet activity bought $5k of Toronto and has already seen the price move from 49¢ to 56¢.

  • This 13-day-old wallet has already made 38 flagged large bets totaling $140k.
  • They bought $5k of Toronto at 49¢, and the market has moved to 56¢ since.
  • The immediate 7-point move suggests they got a strong entry, though the wallet has no resolved track record yet.

$5,009 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable MLB cluster

Three-wallet Blue Jays flow is worth surfacing because it combines one-sided buying, a major pre-game volume spike, and two profitable high-volume sports traders.

  • Three wallets all bought Toronto, including two long-running bettors with 61% and 70% win rates.
  • The strongest wallet is up about $8.9M lifetime across 1,466 resolved bets.
  • Early buys came at 49¢ and the market has already moved to 58¢, suggesting the flow pushed a real price move.

$7,771 on Toronto Blue Jays

$8.9M-profit serial bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Toronto with a strong long-term record, though the individual stake is modest for this liquid MLB market.

  • This bettor has won 61% of 1,466 resolved bets and is up about $8.9M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 373 events with $16.2M in tracked activity.
  • Toronto was bought at 57¢ as pre-game volume spiked far above the market’s historical pace.

$1,414 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 58%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader with a 70% record and $169k lifetime P&L bought Toronto amid a large pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 70% of resolved trades and is up $169k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 86 sports events with nearly $600k deployed.
  • Toronto saw a 292x pre-game volume spike, adding momentum to the buy.

$1,348 on Toronto Blue Jays | Wallet win rate: 64%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A high-volume profitable sports bettor with a long cross-market history placed a $30.8k Orioles bet during a sharp pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $1.5M across 777 resolved markets.
  • They put $30.8k on Baltimore at 44¢, a sizable position in a liquid MLB market.
  • This wallet has traded 253 events, and this market saw a 292x pre-game volume spike.

$30,800 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 61%

97% sports whale

Sharp sports bettor with a 97% record and $1.55M profit bought $23.7K of Baltimore at 43¢.

  • This bettor has won 29 of 30 resolved bets and is up $1.55M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market sports trader with $2.1M in tracked event volume.
  • A $23.7K buy at 43¢ implies they see Baltimore as underpriced.

$23,675 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 98%

75% serial sports bettor

Surface cautiously: this is a serial cross-market sports bettor with a 75% resolved-bet win rate, though lifetime P&L is negative and the MLB bet size is modest for this liquid market.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 269 resolved bets, well above their typical 52¢ entry price.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 77 events, with about $1.3M in tracked activity.
  • The Orioles entry at 42¢ implies roughly a 2.4x payout if their read is right.

$2,563 on Baltimore Orioles | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbddf...c684 Outcome 54877870, $58,398 (89% win rate)
  2. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 54877870, $30,569 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x8b88...8f33 Outcome 54877870, $20,000 (99% win rate)
  4. 0x1117...3532 Outcome 54877870, $15,000 (66% win rate)
  5. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 54877870, $12,399 (69% win rate)
  6. 0x0a77...9d74 Outcome 54877870, $4,464
  7. 0x4379...2e16 Outcome 54877870, $3,000 (64% win rate)
  8. 0xebe6...9278 Outcome 54877870, $3,000 (69% win rate)
  9. 0x6dec...0d2b Outcome 54877870, $2,501
  10. 0x161a...4103 Outcome 54877870, $2,110 (94% win rate)

Related Theses

England Spain or Brazil wins

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Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

ResolvedBaltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays$73,878 tracked8 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for June 5 at 7:07PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Toronto Blue Jays" if the Toronto Blue Jays win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BAL
13
31-33
Final
TOR
3
30-34
BAL +128TOR -154O/U 8.5
Venue
Rogers Centre, Toronto
Attendance
41,801

Notable Trades

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

64d ago

$1,298 on Baltimore Orioles at 86¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

64d ago

$5,009 on Toronto Blue Jays at 49¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

64d ago

$7,771 on Toronto Blue Jays at 52¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

64d ago

$1,414 on Toronto Blue Jays at 57¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

64d ago

$1,348 on Toronto Blue Jays at 57¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

64d ago

$30,800 on Baltimore Orioles at 44¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

64d ago

$23,675 on Baltimore Orioles at 43¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays

64d ago

$2,563 on Baltimore Orioles at 42¢

Related Theses