Part of: Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals

Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals

This prediction market covers the MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Washington Nationals, scheduled for May 17 at 1:35 PM ET. It resolves to the team that wins the game, with live market odds and smart money activity tracked on PolySpotter, including $29,921 in smart money and 2 recent signals. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until completion; if canceled with no make-up game or ending in a tie, it resolves 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $41,478.

Categories: Sports, Games, MLB, baseball

Notable Trades

Three-wallet underdog cluster

Three wallets put $13.9k on the Washington Nationals amid a large pre-game volume spike, including two high-volume profitable bettors, though the price has since moved against them.

  • Three wallets bought the same underdog side for $13.9k in a tight burst before the game.
  • Two of the wallets are lifetime profitable, including one up $3.87M across over 1,000 resolved bets.
  • They entered at 42¢ while the market is now 38¢, offering a cheaper follow if their thesis is right.

$13,921 on Washington Nationals

Profitable serial sports trader

Serial cross-market sports trader with a long history and strong lifetime profit bought $16k of Washington at near coin-flip odds.

  • This bettor is up $338k lifetime across 105 resolved bets.
  • They have traded across 47 events and 71 markets, suggesting a repeat sports-betting strategy.
  • A $16k buy at 48¢ implies they see Washington as better than a coin flip.

$16,000 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large sample is buying Washington at 48¢ despite only a moderate standalone signal.

  • This bettor has won 67% of 3,035 resolved bets and is up $1.47M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 1,553 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process rather than a one-off bet.
  • A $7.1K buy at 48¢ implies they see Washington as undervalued in a near-even MLB matchup.

$7,148 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 68%

90% win-rate sports sharp

Elite sports bettor with a 90% resolved win rate and $877k lifetime profit bought Washington at 46¢.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved bets and is up $877k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 147 events with $1.8M in volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Buying Washington at 46¢ implies they see value against a near coin-flip market.

$4,409 on Washington Nationals | Wallet win rate: 90%

Top Holders

  1. 0x3dfb...abaf Outcome 51607398, $33,333 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x7a88...41cc Outcome 51607398, $17,777 (59% win rate)
  3. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 51607398, $16,188 (57% win rate)
  4. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 51607398, $15,261 (68% win rate)
  5. 0x16bb...8492 Outcome 51607398, $9,585 (90% win rate)
  6. 0x9495...9a27 Outcome 51607398, $7,028 (64% win rate)
  7. 0xd106...c79c Outcome 51607398, $6,932 (53% win rate)
  8. 0x9d94...017d Outcome 51607398, $5,187
  9. 0x5482...b6ee Outcome 51607398, $1,800
  10. 0xf7c4...5919 Outcome 51607398, $1,264

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Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals

3dBaltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals$41,478 tracked4 signalsSportsGamesMLBbaseball

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Washington Nationals, scheduled for May 17 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

BAL
7
21-26
Final
WSH
3
23-24
BAL -120WSH +100O/U 10
Venue
Nationals Park, Washington
Attendance
26,715
Price History — “Baltimore Orioles
96¢
73¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals

3d ago

$13,921 on Washington Nationals at 42¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals

3d ago

$16,000 on Washington Nationals at 48¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals

3d ago

$7,148 on Washington Nationals at 48¢

Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals

3d ago

$4,409 on Washington Nationals at 46¢

Related Theses