Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Lorenzo Musetti
This Polymarket tracks who will advance in the Barcelona Open match between Arthur Fils and Lorenzo Musetti, originally scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, and if the match is not played, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days without a winner, special resolution rules apply. PolySpotter is currently tracking $28,481 in smart money activity on this market, including recent alerts highlighting a surge toward Arthur Fils.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Lorenzo Musetti in the Barcelona Open, originally scheduled for April 17, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Lorenzo Musetti. This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Musetti' if Lorenzo Musetti advances against Arthur Fils. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
3 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,580.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
3-wallet Fils surge
Three wallets piled nearly $28.5k into Arthur Fils within minutes during a 208x volume spike, a notable coordinated move in a match market despite weak wallet track records.
- Three wallets bought Arthur Fils within 8 minutes, totaling $28.5k on the same side
- This hit during a 208x volume spike, suggesting fast coordinated positioning before the match
- Most size came at 53¢, a near coin-flip price that leaves room if this flow is right
$28,481 on Arthur Fils
94% win-rate bettor
A bettor with an exceptional long-term record is taking Lorenzo Musetti at 49¢ in a fairly liquid tennis market, making this a credible copy-trade despite only one signal.
- This bettor wins 94% of their resolved trades and is up $342k across 154 bets
- They bought Lorenzo Musetti at 49¢, just below a near-even market at 48-49¢
- The market is liquid enough that this looks like a real opinion, not just a thin-market punt
$2,171 on Lorenzo Musetti | Wallet win rate: 94%
72% win-rate serial bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a strong 72% win rate and $333k profit is taking a fresh $4.9k position on Arthur Fils at near-even odds.
- This bettor wins 72% of 650 resolved trades and is up $333k lifetime
- They trade heavily across events and markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought Arthur Fils at 52¢, a near-even price that leaves room if their read is right
$4,928 on Arthur Fils | Wallet win rate: 72%
Top Holders
- 0xc450...e677 — Arthur Fils, $59,366 (40% win rate)
- 0x65b9...ff15 — Lorenzo Musetti, $36,851 (89% win rate)
- 0x0a26...1851 — Arthur Fils, $11,372 (72% win rate)
- 0x93fc...34b6 — Arthur Fils, $10,889 (30% win rate)
- 0x08f0...b809 — Lorenzo Musetti, $10,000 (51% win rate)
- 0xf519...906b — Arthur Fils, $10,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Lorenzo Musetti, $9,150 (74% win rate)
- 0x153a...9d6d — Lorenzo Musetti, $7,000 (59% win rate)
- 0xd48d...5182 — Arthur Fils, $5,999 (98% win rate)
- 0x45e4...7e20 — Arthur Fils, $4,925 (29% win rate)
