Barcelona Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Tomas Machac
This Polymarket tracks who will advance from the Barcelona Open match between Carlos Alcaraz and Tomas Machac, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with cancellation, a tie, or a delay of more than 7 days without a winner resulting in market rules applying accordingly. PolySpotter currently tracks $2,369 in smart money on this market, including recent signals pointing to interest on Alcaraz.
This market refers to the tennis match between Carlos Alcaraz and Tomas Machac in the Barcelona Open, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Carlos Alcaraz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $12,765.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp bettor buys Alcaraz
A proven sharp wallet with an 86% win rate sold Machac at 49¢, equivalent to buying Alcaraz at 51¢, during an unusually large volume surge in this match market.
- This bettor wins 86% of their trades with a +28% edge versus the odds.
- Their sell of Machac at 49¢ is effectively a buy on Alcaraz at 51¢.
- Match volume is running 122x above normal, so this bet lines up with strong market attention.
$2,369 on Carlos Alcaraz | Wallet win rate: 86%
3-wallet Alcaraz cluster
Three wallets piled into Alcaraz with over $10k as volume spiked and price moved sharply, including one bettor with an 86% win rate and another profitable wallet.
- Three wallets put $10.4k on Alcaraz in a coordinated burst as market volume jumped 55x.
- One bettor wins 86% of resolved bets, and another is up $35.9k lifetime.
- Two wallets effectively bought Alcaraz at 51¢ by selling Machac at 49¢, close to the current 50-51¢ market.
$10,396 on Carlos Alcaraz
Top Holders
- 0x5d76...9168 — Tomas Machac, $46,418 (54% win rate)
- 0x73af...b880 — Tomas Machac, $40,857 (63% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Carlos Alcaraz, $16,343 (55% win rate)
- 0xa02b...70d6 — Carlos Alcaraz, $13,868
- 0x44a1...bd21 — Carlos Alcaraz, $13,277 (54% win rate)
- 0x6bb3...758e — Carlos Alcaraz, $10,715 (56% win rate)
- 0xcf73...0215 — Carlos Alcaraz, $8,430 (50% win rate)
- 0x2d6a...8add — Carlos Alcaraz, $7,082
- 0x698b...4426 — Carlos Alcaraz, $6,302 (51% win rate)
- 0xa566...72de — Tomas Machac, $5,516 (62% win rate)
