Barcelona Open, Qualification: Francesco Maestrelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

This Polymarket covers the Barcelona Open qualifying match between Francesco Maestrelli and Daniel Merida Aguilar, scheduled for April 11 at 4:30 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, and it is set to resolve by April 18, 2026 if needed under the market rules. PolySpotter is currently tracking $994 in smart money activity on this tennis prediction market.

This market refers on the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Barcelona Open, Qualification, scheduled for April 11 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Francesco Maestrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,971.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

87% win-rate tennis bettor

An 87% win-rate serial cross-market trader with over 125 resolved bets bought Daniel Merida Aguilar, making this a track-record-driven signal worth surfacing despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 87% of their trades across 125 resolved markets and is up $22.3k lifetime
  • They trade across many related events with real consistency: 81 events, 85 markets, and $401k+ tracked volume
  • They bought Daniel Merida Aguilar at 80¢, showing confidence even as the market now offers a slightly better 76¢ entry

$994 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 87%

99% win-rate bettor

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a 99% win rate bought Daniel Merida Aguilar in a low-volume tennis market, making this a credible copy-trade signal despite the modest size.

  • This bettor wins 155 of 157 resolved trades and is up $126k lifetime
  • They've traded 64 related events for $188k total, which points to a repeatable sports betting edge
  • The buy was nearly $3k in a market with only $3.8k of 24h volume, showing real conviction at 74¢

$2,977 on Daniel Merida Aguilar | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0x507e...beae Francesco Maestrelli, $5,408 (50% win rate)
  2. 0x0997...c9f6 Daniel Merida Aguilar, $5,041
  3. 0x13f0...a50f Daniel Merida Aguilar, $4,655 (100% win rate)
  4. 0x6fc4...c89d Daniel Merida Aguilar, $4,636 (100% win rate)
  5. 0xfe78...0319 Francesco Maestrelli, $3,169 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x58c8...b1a2 Francesco Maestrelli, $2,910
  7. 0x42c9...9623 Francesco Maestrelli, $1,655 (50% win rate)
  8. 0xd81f...6b75 Francesco Maestrelli, $1,360 (47% win rate)
  9. 0x6e2f...9123 Francesco Maestrelli, $1,292
  10. 0x2005...75ea Daniel Merida Aguilar, $1,285 (52% win rate)

Related Theses

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Barcelona Open, Qualification: Francesco Maestrelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

6d$3,971 tracked2 signalsTennisSportsGames
Francesco Maestrelli
0¢
Daniel Merida Aguilar
100¢

This market refers on the tennis match between Francesco Maestrelli and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Barcelona Open, Qualification, scheduled for April 11 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Francesco Maestrelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Daniel Merida Aguilar
102¢
84¢
66¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Barcelona Open, Qualification: Francesco Maestrelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

2h ago

$994 on Daniel Merida Aguilar at 80¢

80¢100¢20¢

Barcelona Open, Qualification: Francesco Maestrelli vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

3h ago

$2,977 on Daniel Merida Aguilar at 74¢

74¢100¢26¢

Related Theses

Maestrelli vs Merida Aguilar Odds | Polymarket | PolySpotter