Part of: Base FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

This prediction market asks whether Base’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $2 billion at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after its launch. Resolution depends on the token being publicly transferable and tradable, with FDV calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price. PolySpotter is tracking $1,992 in smart money activity, including a recent signal from a 68% winner fading YES.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,992.

Categories: Base, Pre-Market, Crypto, FDV

Notable Trades

68% winner fading YES

Profitable serial cross-market trader is taking the No side on a quiet crypto market with a bet far larger than recent volume.

  • This bettor wins 68% of resolved trades and is up about $117K lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $1.36M deployed across 441 markets.
  • The $2K trade was huge for this quiet market, over 10x the detected recent volume.

$1,992 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5c42...743f No, $20,429
  2. 0xcf07...c770 No, $8,403 (30% win rate)
  3. 0x3f6c...b211 Yes, $6,243
  4. 0xac9b...d4c5 No, $5,940 (39% win rate)
  5. 0xee67...ef38 Yes, $4,588 (72% win rate)
  6. 0x7b05...6180 Yes, $3,729 (60% win rate)
  7. 0xb807...99cb Yes, $3,622
  8. 0x0bd8...a74a Yes, $3,435
  9. 0x3e0a...b9cc Yes, $2,663 (64% win rate)
  10. 0xcf61...2683 No, $2,184

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Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

494dBase FDV above ___ one day after launch?$1,992 tracked1 signalBasePre-MarketCryptoFDV
Yes
38¢
No
63¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Base's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Base doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Price History — “No
66¢
55¢
44¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?

60d ago

$1,992 on No at 36¢

36¢63¢27¢

Related Theses