Part of: Belgium vs. IR Iran - More Markets

Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $50,927.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

97% whale buying Over

A highly profitable 97% win-rate wallet bought Over despite the market moving sharply lower, with corroborating one-sided flow from 8 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 97% of resolved bets and is up $2.6M lifetime.
  • 8 wallets are all betting Over, totaling $37K on the same side.
  • Volume is up 394x versus normal, though Over has fallen from this 50¢ entry to 28¢ now.

$9,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 97%

Profitable whales buying Under

A $40K coordinated Under move hit a live first-half total market, backed by two profitable high-volume wallets and accompanied by a sharp Over price drop, though the trade has already moved well past the entry.

  • A 7-wallet cluster put $40K on Under, more than the market’s listed liquidity.
  • Two participating wallets are each up over $600K lifetime on Polymarket.
  • Entry averaged around 48¢ and the market has already moved to 72¢, so this is only attractive on a pullback.

$40,127 on Under

Sharp bettor joins Over cluster

Sharp wallet with an 80% winning record joined an 8-wallet one-sided Over push, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $8.8K lifetime.
  • 8 wallets bought the same Over side, totaling $37.4K in one-sided flow.
  • The market saw a huge volume spike, but Over has fallen from this 51¢ entry to 28¢.

$1,800 on Over | Wallet win rate: 71%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5f65...2036 Outcome 96934567, $38,167 (97% win rate)
  2. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 96934567, $34,778 (55% win rate)
  3. 0x032e...2a9e Outcome 96934567, $20,452 (71% win rate)
  4. 0xd1ed...d7cb Outcome 96934567, $7,320 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x67bf...f983 Outcome 96934567, $5,008 (67% win rate)
  6. 0xfa29...57eb Outcome 96934567, $4,950 (75% win rate)
  7. 0xea44...7e91 Outcome 96934567, $4,000 (67% win rate)
  8. 0x39fc...e2f2 Outcome 96934567, $3,171 (54% win rate)
  9. 0x18b8...c368 Outcome 96934567, $3,042 (82% win rate)
  10. 0x8325...19cc Outcome 96934567, $2,926 (61% win rate)

Related Theses

Iraq Norway goal fest

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Belgium dominates Iran early

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Czechia wins big early

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Canada Qatar first-half shootout

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Germany wins high-scoring rout

Covers 4 related markets

France Northern Ireland goals galore

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USA Australia goalfest starts early

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Ann Li beats Alexandrova

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Hussey beats Arnaldi

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Shimabukuro upsets Shelton

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Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5

ResolvedBelgium vs. IR Iran - More Markets$50,927 tracked3 signalsSportsFIFA World CupSoccerGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and IR Iran, scheduled for June 21 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Belgium and IR Iran combine to score 1 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 1 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5

10d ago

$9,000 on Over at 50¢

Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5

10d ago

$40,127 on Under at 48¢

Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5

10d ago

$1,800 on Over at 51¢

Related Theses