Part of: Belgium vs. IR Iran - More Markets
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 3.5
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $75,381.
Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp cluster buying Under
Three wallets bought $9.2k of Under, led by a highly profitable 91% winner with $555k lifetime P&L and a long serial cross-market track record.
- Lead bettor wins 91% of resolved bets and is up $555k lifetime.
- Three wallets put $9.2k on Under at 69–70¢ in the same direction.
- This is part of a broader event thesis across 5 related markets, led by a serial sports trader.
$9,174 on Under
Elite sharp leads Over cluster
A highly profitable 95% win-rate wallet led a $62.9k one-sided Over cluster amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- The lead bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $6.7M lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $62.9k of Over, with $58k coming from the elite wallet.
- Market volume spiked 129x before the match, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
$62,932 on Over
Proven sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a long profitable record is buying Over 3.5, backed by strong cross-market history despite modest sizing.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $404k lifetime.
- They have traded 203 related events with the same 76% win rate across markets.
- Entry at 33¢ implies they see Over 3.5 as a mispriced 3x-style payout.
$1,525 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%
Proven sports sharp
Sharp, highly profitable sports bettor with a huge sample is buying Under despite only modest market movement.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved bets and is up $1.85M lifetime.
- They have traded across 181 events with a 76% win rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Buying Under at 69¢ implies confidence that this match stays below 4 total goals.
$1,750 on Under | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Outcome 69651494, $179,281 (94% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 69651494, $26,319 (55% win rate)
- 0xe5f0...dc1d — Outcome 69651494, $15,399 (24% win rate)
- 0xfd66...fb6d — Outcome 69651494, $8,043 (23% win rate)
- 0x7e52...00f5 — Outcome 69651494, $7,000 (79% win rate)
- 0x5b75...433b — Outcome 69651494, $6,061 (52% win rate)
- 0x4f42...8bbc — Outcome 69651494, $4,621 (76% win rate)
- 0x21b7...c861 — Outcome 69651494, $3,500 (39% win rate)
- 0x5b6e...f544 — Outcome 69651494, $3,000 (90% win rate)
- 0x5e39...352c — Outcome 69651494, $2,000 (72% win rate)
Related Theses
Goals, not Germany by two
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Norway Senegal will be high-scoring
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Iran keeps Belgium low-scoring
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Japan covers in three-goal game
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Argentina wins low scoring match
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Türkiye vs US match canceled
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Morocco wins low scoring
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Türkiye wins two nil
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Uruguay fails to beat Spain
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Austria won’t beat Algeria
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