Part of: Biella: Jay Clarke vs Felix Gill
Biella: Jay Clarke vs Felix Gill
This prediction market covers the Biella tennis match between Jay Clarke and Felix Gill, scheduled for September 18, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances; the market has recorded $1,822 in tracked smart money and one signal, including recent Clarke buying activity. The listed resolution date is September 25, 2026, while the rules set October 2, 2026 as the deadline if no winner is determined.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $35,164.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% winner adds before sharp move
A highly profitable 92% win-rate serial trader added to Jay Clarke at 82¢ before a major price rise, alongside a 35.5x volume spike.
- This bettor has won 92% of 1,588 resolved trades and earned over $3.0 million.
- They added $1,822 to an existing Jay Clarke position at 82¢, before the market rose to 96¢.
- Trading volume surged to 35.5 times its historical average while Jay Clarke moved up 22 percentage points.
$1,822 on Jay Clarke | Wallet win rate: 92%
Profitable bettor adds to Clarke
A profitable, highly experienced bettor added a $15,000 Jay Clarke position at 57%, followed by a sharp move to 80%, though the trader's historical edge is moderate.
- This bettor is up $1.16 million across 891 resolved trades and added $15,000 to Jay Clarke at 57%.
- Jay Clarke subsequently rose 23 percentage points to 80%, with the position now worth substantially more.
- The wallet already held $26,316 at the same entry price, signaling increased conviction rather than a routine one-off trade.
$15,000 on Jay Clarke | Wallet win rate: 65%
83% win-rate serial trader
A highly successful serial trader exited Felix Gill after holding the position, but the sell appears more like modest profit-taking than a fresh directional bet.
- This bettor wins 83% of trades across 127 resolved positions and is up $132,140.
- The $2,750 Felix Gill sale followed a prior $5,000 position, indicating an experienced trader actively managing exposure.
- Selling Felix at 55¢ is equivalent to buying Jay Clarke at 45¢, but the trade is weaker as a copy signal because it may simply be profit-taking.
$2,750 on Jay Clarke | Wallet win rate: 83%
Three-wallet Clarke buying cluster
Three wallets deployed $15.6K on Jay Clarke amid a major volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated directional signal despite mixed wallet track records.
- Three wallets collectively bought $15,592 of Jay Clarke, with one $10,000 order driving concentrated conviction.
- The trades accompanied a 562.9x volume spike and an 8.5% one-day price move.
- One participating bettor is up $7.1 million lifetime, though the other wallets have mixed profitability and two were adding existing positions.
$15,592 on Jay Clarke
Top Holders
- 0xe4d6...308a — Outcome 91590067, $96,533 (100% win rate)
- 0x3f98...0aa1 — Outcome 91590067, $15,464 (81% win rate)
- 0xf609...ac40 — Outcome 91590067, $1,598 (34% win rate)
- 0x6bc7...c4a9 — Outcome 91590067, $1,020
- 0x5213...6a35 — Outcome 91590067, $926 (74% win rate)
- 0x86b1...c094 — Outcome 91590067, $804 (38% win rate)
- 0x0c58...b7b9 — Outcome 91590067, $518
- 0x7f83...a491 — Outcome 91590067, $470
- 0x125a...df71 — Outcome 91590067, $398
- 0x4abd...5a5c — Outcome 91590067, $313 (63% win rate)
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