Part of: Biella: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Stefano Napolitano
Biella: Oriol Roca Batalla vs Stefano Napolitano
This Biella tennis prediction market covers whether Oriol Roca Batalla or Stefano Napolitano advances in their scheduled September 16, 2026 match. The market currently has $1,359 in tracked smart-money activity across one signal, while live prices and odds may change on Polymarket. It resolves to the advancing player under the market rules, with a September 23, 2026 resolution date shown in the metadata.
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $13,766.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Sharp volume-driven tennis move
A 255x pre-event volume surge and 21-point price jump accompanied a fresh $1,359 purchase of Oriol Roca Batalla, creating a meaningful momentum signal despite the bettor's mixed win rate.
- A sudden 255x volume spike coincided with Oriol Roca Batalla rising 21 percentage points to 92%.
- The wallet has over 46,000 resolved trades and $3.78 million in lifetime profit, though its 55% win rate is mixed.
- The bettor bought Oriol at 84¢ before the market repriced sharply higher.
$1,359 on Oriol Roca Batalla | Wallet win rate: 55%
Sharp bettor leads contrarian cluster
Three wallets, including a highly profitable sharp bettor, coordinated a contrarian $6,081 position on Stefano Napolitano despite the market now pricing him at only 16%.
- A proven bettor with an 82% win rate and $691,000 lifetime profit bought Stefano Napolitano.
- Three wallets collectively invested $6,081 on the same underdog, with entries between 40¢ and 56¢.
- The position is highly contrarian: Stefano is now priced at just 16%, so the market move strongly challenges the original thesis.
$6,081 on Stefano Napolitano
82% win-rate tennis bettor
A highly experienced bettor with an 82% win rate across 235 resolved positions made a fresh $2,827 bet on Stefano Napolitano at 56%.
- This bettor wins 82% of 235 resolved trades and is up $691,142 lifetime.
- They placed $2,827 on Stefano Napolitano at 56%, showing meaningful conviction despite the market now pricing him at 52%.
- The wallet has traded across 245 events, providing a substantial record beyond this single match.
$2,827 on Stefano Napolitano | Wallet win rate: 81%
95% winner backs Oriol Roca Batalla
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge has taken a fresh position on Oriol Roca Batalla.
- This bettor has won 476 of 499 resolved trades and earned $514,933 in profit.
- Their 95% win rate came from buying at an average 45% price, indicating a substantial edge over market-implied odds.
- The fresh $1,499 position backs Oriol Roca Batalla around 49% in a nearly even tennis match.
$1,499 on Oriol Roca Batalla | Wallet win rate: 95%
Proven bettor scaling into Stefano
A highly experienced bettor with 78% wins and a substantial positive edge is adding to an existing Stefano Napolitano position at 63%.
- This bettor has won 78% of 1,093 resolved trades and is up $253,064 lifetime.
- They bought another $2,000 of Stefano Napolitano at 63%, adding to a $3,175 existing position.
- The market has since moved to 78%, supporting the bettor’s direction, though the copy price is no longer available.
$2,000 on Stefano Napolitano | Wallet win rate: 78%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 97114629, $9,639 (64% win rate)
- 0x3f98...0aa1 — Outcome 97114629, $5,009 (81% win rate)
- 0x1250...8f99 — Outcome 97114629, $3,175 (78% win rate)
- 0x4810...289a — Outcome 97114629, $1,981 (87% win rate)
- 0x5978...d5c4 — Outcome 97114629, $1,431
- 0xb7a1...504c — Outcome 97114629, $1,376
- 0x44a4...5f5b — Outcome 97114629, $1,027
- 0x6944...7275 — Outcome 97114629, $600
- 0x3bba...cb87 — Outcome 97114629, $562
- 0xd57d...af4b — Outcome 97114629, $526
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