Part of: Bills vs. Texans
Bills vs. Texans
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 13 at 1:00PM ET: If Bills wins, the market will resolve to "Bills". If Texans wins, the market will resolve to "Texans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $196,295.
Categories: Sports, NFL, Games
Notable Trades
Nine-wallet Bills buying surge
Nine wallets committed $58,381 to Bills during a 46.8x volume spike, with support from a proven 78% win-rate bettor, though existing hedged positions and the current 100% price make copying difficult.
- Nine wallets bought Bills for $58,381 as volume reached 46.8 times its historical average.
- One participating bettor wins 78% of 1,647 resolved trades, with $1.75M in profit and a 22-point edge over average entry odds.
- The market has already moved to 100% for Bills, so the observed roughly 59¢ entry is no longer available; existing Texans hedges temper the signal.
$58,381 on Bills
Seven-wallet Texans conviction cluster
Seven wallets concentrated $120,000 into Texans, including proven high-performing bettors and a massive pre-event volume spike.
- Seven wallets bought Texans for roughly $120,000, creating a strong one-sided signal despite the market being near evenly priced.
- One participating bettor wins 81% of 1,244 resolved trades and is profitable by more than $1.7 million.
- The market saw an unusually large 897x historical volume spike, while several wallets added to existing Texans positions at 48¢.
$120,018 on Texans
Elite serial bettor buys Texans
A highly profitable serial bettor with a 92% win rate and substantial positive edge bought Texans amid an extreme pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 92% of 4,941 resolved positions and is up $3.34 million.
- The wallet bought Texans at 48¢, despite the market being nearly evenly priced at 48–52%.
- Trading activity was 433× the historical average, adding support to the directional move.
$1,200 on Texans | Wallet win rate: 92%
Perfect-record serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable bettor with 378 straight wins and substantial implied-odds edge is taking Texans at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 100% of 378 resolved trades and is up $942,243.
- The wallet has made bets across 435 events, suggesting a broad and repeatable trading record rather than a one-off wager.
- Texans were bought at 48¢, near the market’s 48% implied probability, with room to enter up to 58¢.
$1,440 on Texans | Wallet win rate: 100%
Perfect-record serial cross-market bettor
A highly profitable bettor with 378 straight wins and substantial implied-odds edge is taking Texans at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 100% of 378 resolved trades and is up $942,243.
- The wallet has made bets across 435 events, suggesting a broad and repeatable trading record rather than a one-off wager.
- Texans were bought at 48¢, near the market’s 48% implied probability, with room to enter up to 58¢.
$2,400 on Texans | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven bettor scales into Bills
A proven cross-market bettor with a 75% win rate and $86.9K profit is adding $12.9K to an existing Bills position in a relatively quiet market.
- This bettor has won 75% of 267 resolved trades and is up $86,886 lifetime.
- They added $12,856 to an existing Bills position, bringing their investment to roughly $37,000.
- The trade consumed nearly three times the market's reported 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction despite the near-even 53% entry.
$12,856 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Texans, $75,725 (85% win rate)
- 0x1d1a...0df6 — Texans, $41,047 (63% win rate)
- 0xdaef...54e9 — Texans, $30,000 (68% win rate)
- 0x3b62...5cc8 — Texans, $12,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Texans, $9,083 (76% win rate)
- 0x5ad4...6866 — Texans, $8,899 (66% win rate)
- 0x3818...9797 — Texans, $8,000 (89% win rate)
- 0x2a69...d2f7 — Texans, $6,765 (70% win rate)
- 0x44a1...bd21 — Texans, $5,102 (66% win rate)
- 0x226b...cad6 — Texans, $5,000 (74% win rate)
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