Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9AM ET

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,473.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9AM ET

A highly profitable serial timer with a 91% win rate made a sizable late bet on Down 16 minutes before resolution, a pattern that has produced strong results across many markets.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
  • They placed $6.4k on Down just 16 minutes before resolution, matching a repeat last-minute pattern across 6 markets.
  • They trade this setup across many markets and events, suggesting a repeatable short-term edge rather than a one-off bet.

$6,437 on Down | Wallet win rate: 91%

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9AM ET

A serial cross-market trader with a 96% hit rate bought Down 16 minutes before resolution, a pattern consistent with a late informational or execution edge in these short-horizon BTC markets.

  • This bettor wins 96% of 1,344 resolved markets and trades across 265 events
  • They bought Down 16 minutes before resolution, where late entries can reflect a real short-term edge
  • The trade was placed at 87¢, signaling high confidence in a market already pricing Down at 88%

$3,036 on Down | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe5f0...dc1d Up, $27,721 (87% win rate)
  2. 0xb728...ed39 Up, $1,000
  3. 0xdd41...5fd9 Up, $609
  4. 0xd7e7...a357 Up, $558
  5. 0x9b9c...5c06 Up, $541
  6. 0x0ae4...a659 Down, $512
  7. 0x3329...43a6 Up, $500
  8. 0x4e58...8ea3 Up, $492
  9. 0x7e18...84c4 Up, $476
  10. 0xa496...b80e Up, $376

Related Theses

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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9AM ET

Resolved$9,473 tracked2 signalsCryptoCrypto PricesRecurringHide From NewBitcoin1HUp or Down
Up
0¢
Down
100¢

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9AM ET

3d ago

$6,437 on Down at 84¢

84¢100¢16¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9AM ET

3d ago

$3,036 on Down at 87¢

87¢100¢13¢

Related Theses

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9AM ET | PolySpotter