Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down from 3:40AM to 3:45AM ET on April 10, based on the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. It resolves to Up if the ending price is greater than or equal to the starting price, and Down otherwise. PolySpotter is currently tracking $1,707 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent high-win-rate last-minute bettor alert.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,707.

Notable Trades

High-win-rate last-minute bettor

A profitable high-win-rate bettor placed a sizable last-minute BTC binary trade minutes before resolution, a pattern that can signal real edge despite the modest trade size.

  • This bettor wins 86% of their trades and is up $21.7k on $51k invested.
  • They bought 5 minutes before resolution, a timing pattern that can matter in short-window BTC markets.
  • Entry at 55¢ is a fairly balanced price, suggesting they still saw clear edge very late.

$1,707 on Up | Wallet win rate: 86%

Top Holders

  1. 0xcfb4...c335 — Outcome 37318314, $9,516 (75% win rate)
  2. 0xc628...65fa — Outcome 37318314, $4,924 (59% win rate)
  3. 0x0ba2...a275 — Outcome 37318314, $3,153
  4. 0x3fa4...8b5c — Outcome 37318314, $3,118 (86% win rate)
  5. 0x5f8f...40cf — Outcome 37318314, $3,085
  6. 0x7da0...6be2 — Outcome 37318314, $1,800
  7. 0x80ba...d2df — Outcome 37318314, $968
  8. 0x5233...0451 — Outcome 37318314, $954
  9. 0x0a78...ea90 — Outcome 37318314, $890 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x8852...c569 — Outcome 50803996, $740

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

$1,707 tracked1 signal

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

2h ago

$1,707 on Up at 55¢