Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will be up or down between 3:45AM and 3:50AM ET on April 10. It resolves to Up if the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of the window is greater than or equal to the price at the start; otherwise it resolves to Down. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,026 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal on this market.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,026.

Notable Trades

Elite serial late bettor

A highly proven bettor with an extraordinary 100% recorded win rate and strong profits placed a sizable bet just under 5 minutes before resolution, a pattern consistent with real edge even in a tiny market.

  • This bettor has won 692 of 695 resolved trades and is up about $235.7k overall
  • The buy came 4.9 minutes before resolution, a timing pattern that often signals a real edge
  • This $1.0k trade was 3.0x the market's entire 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction in a thin market

$1,026 on Up | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0xe8f9...77e8 — Outcome 11122689, $2,740 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x5f8f...40cf — Outcome 11122689, $2,551
  3. 0x7da0...6be2 — Outcome 11122689, $1,800
  4. 0x5233...0451 — Outcome 11122689, $1,183
  5. 0x7c1b...fa63 — Outcome 11122689, $979
  6. 0x781a...96e6 — Outcome 11122689, $780
  7. 0x1b77...417e — Outcome 11122689, $760
  8. 0xdbac...87c5 — Outcome 11122689, $757
  9. 0xe3f1...b7b0 — Outcome 11122689, $713
  10. 0x204b...4605 — Outcome 11122689, $700

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

$1,026 tracked1 signal

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

1h ago

$1,026 on Up at 56¢