Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2AM ET
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin closes higher or lower than it opened during the BTC/USDT 1-hour candle starting April 11 at 2AM ET. It resolves to Up if the Binance BTC/USDT 1H candle closes at or above its open, and Down if it closes below. The market resolves after the candle data is finalized, with settlement tied to Binance pricing at 2026-04-11 07:00:00+00:00.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,205.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, 1H, Up or Down
Notable Trades
Profitable serial BTC timer
A highly profitable serial timer with 1,200+ resolved bets bought Down about 58 minutes before resolution in a thin hourly BTC market, making this a credible short-term signal worth surfacing.
- This bettor has 1,207 resolved trades, wins 58% of them, and is up $173k overall
- They repeatedly bet near resolution across 28 markets, a pattern that often points to real short-term edge
- They bought Down at 50¢ in a market with only $1.4k volume, so this single trade was a large share of activity
$1,205 on Down | Wallet win rate: 58%
Top Holders
- 0x7e45...5b61 — Up, $2,800 (49% win rate)
- 0xef10...0b43 — Down, $2,410 (58% win rate)
- 0xe1d6...907c — Down, $2,280 (51% win rate)
- 0x0428...85b1 — Down, $994 (50% win rate)
- 0x21d0...e8d7 — Down, $704
- 0xd938...0481 — Down, $557
- 0xb78d...c073 — Up, $380
- 0xd13e...daca — Up, $375
- 0x7e18...84c4 — Up, $343
- 0x47bc...7940 — Up, $300
