Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3AM ET
This Polymarket asks whether Bitcoin will finish the April 12, 3AM ET BTC/USDT hourly candle up or down. It resolves to Up if the Binance 1-hour candle closes at or above its open, and Down if it closes below. The market is scheduled to resolve on April 12, 2026, using Binance BTC/USDT data as the source.
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,204.
Categories: Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, 1H, Up or Down
Notable Trades
Profitable serial timer
A proven profitable serial timer with 1,242 resolved bets bought Down about an hour before resolution, and the market has already moved in their favor from 49% to 56%.
- This bettor has 1,242 resolved bets, a 59% win rate, and $180.8k in profit
- They repeatedly bet near resolution across 35 markets, suggesting a strong short-term timing edge
- Bought Down at 49¢ and the market is already at 56¢, showing immediate follow-through
$1,204 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%
Top Holders
- 0xef10...0b43 — Down, $3,623 (59% win rate)
- 0xe1d6...907c — Down, $2,802 (51% win rate)
- 0xd0a0...2760 — Up, $2,000 (59% win rate)
- 0xe68c...a75c — Down, $1,717 (62% win rate)
- 0x56d4...746f — Up, $1,344 (72% win rate)
- 0x0428...85b1 — Down, $1,308 (50% win rate)
- 0x0826...e098 — Up, $943
- 0x8888...0b39 — Down, $896
- 0x7e18...84c4 — Up, $819
- 0xf539...42a3 — Up, $759
